Half of English councils and all of Scotland and Wales to come in. Anyone making concrete assertions are talking out their arse. Only thing certain is London is a disaster for Tories.
Again a full picture is very hard to tell Labour had way more to loose than gain but gut feel is were at 'May' level of support at her lowest in local elections. Which is why were seeing not many gains for Lab as these seats were contested at that point.
Pretty much they've kind of done that informally this time around and will likely do it again. Labour under Miliband and even more Corbyn really had a 'duck you we'll fight everywhere mentality' which was never helpful. LDs last election made blindingly stupid tactical plans on where attack as well.
Bristol is the big one for them, isn't it?
Its more I'd like to see more Green MPs but I agree can't see where they are taking seats from the Tories.
Its an inherent issue of FPTP the smaller the sample of voter the more prone it it is 'random' upsets so you can vote with heart and actually have a chance of getting what you want which is far less likely to happen in a GE.
And this is the first thing we need to fix about British Politics.
Beeb had a good bit about how we're forgetting to compare apples to apples, and are comparing to the 2019 GE, rather than the 2018 LEs - given the collapse of the "red wall" came in 2019, so labour treading water means they "ought" (as far as that goes) to rebuild the red wall.
I know they bring in Curtice for this stuff but I wish it was more prominent in the general discourse. Usually one of the few people trying to spin the result and just interested in the raw analysis using historical data and what's actually going on.Election results 2022: Prof Sir John Curtice on what they show so far
Results so far on Friday show Lib Dems, not Labour, capitalising on Tory losses.www.bbc.co.uk
Update after 85 councils declared
2.9%)
19.3%)30.0%)109.1%)
www.telegraph.co.uk
