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All Black new cap contenders

All the talk of the 'player exodus' is a bit over exaggerated. Yes it will have an effect at S15 level like justin Marshall said but the ABs will be fine.
I do have a concern over the size of the new wave of players. Comparing the likes of Parsons, Coltman, Moody in the front row and McKenzie, Gibson-Park, Weber and Milner-Skudder in the backs to SA or Europe players, they are quite small.
 
Both Luatua and Vito could make a good fist of lock, but to be honest I think we're better off taking a specialist lock who can handle some of the burden. Whitelock, Retallick and Tuipulotu are givens. Is Luatua really going to be more useful than Romano, Thrush, Broadhurst etc.? I'm fairly certain they'll take four specialists.

You tell me :lol:

Yup, a lock who does a good fist of playing blindside is more usual than a blindside who does a good job of playing lock, but I couldn't think of one with significant experience at blindside - but then that doesn't mean much! Which NZ locks have done well on the blindside?

You and Nick mention Vito - I thought Vito was smaller than he was hence me not mentioning him... but yeah, could do a job. Never really struck me as a tight five type player though.
 
You tell me :lol:

Yup, a lock who does a good fist of playing blindside is more usual than a blindside who does a good job of playing lock, but I couldn't think of one with significant experience at blindside - but then that doesn't mean much! Which NZ locks have done well on the blindside?

You and Nick mention Vito - I thought Vito was smaller than he was hence me not mentioning him... but yeah, could do a job. Never really struck me as a tight five type player though.

Vito is 1.92m so not super tall, but he's one of the best line-out operators in Super Rugby. In reality I'd imagine if he was on the bench, Kaino would move into lock for the scrums. Broadhurst I think could do a pretty good job at 6, good in the tight but pretty damn mobile - but I can't see any bolters regardless. Just so long as Romano isn't there then I'm a happy man.
 
Just a quick one to give my 5 cents worth on the whole Dagg thing. His Super form this year actually has been better than previous campaigns which were a bit lacklustre, evidenced by the stats posted.

this might seem one of those things people just discount but along with stats you also have to actually watch the games, and I suppose the difference to me between say Dagg and NMS in terms of players beaten or line breaks is the nature of those. NMS has a genuine deadly step that Dagg (or Ben Smith for that matter) simply doesn't have. One on one with a set defensive line, NMS is always a chance to make something happen as he can step off either foot really well. Dagg does the goose step to the outside which sometimes works but it is pretty predictable.

Just looking at stats doesn't tell you how they happened or came about. When you watch NMS he just does stuff that others aren't capable of due to his footwork. I wouldn't pick him in the ABs this year by the way I just love watching him play and the excitement he can create.
 
if there is one guy that is really sticking out it's Broadhurst IMO

hes in competition for that last locking spot with Bird, Romano and Thrush. And IMO he's outplaying them all. Or you could add Tuipulotu to that list and say they are competing for 2 spots.

Thrush is a safe experienced option for world cup year but Broadhurst is out playing him at the canes. And I really want to see the All Black selectors pick some form players and not just safe options where applicable.
 
I think Thrush deserves a fair go. Last year when he played in an All Blacks jumper he played just as well as Whitelock or Rettalick imo. Hasn't quite stood out in that way at the Canes this year, but some players are like that.

Tuipulotu has impressed me. It's so easy to stand out one year, and then decline gradually. How often do we see players burst on the scene and other teams figure them out? Tuipulotu is still gaining meters and does a tremendous job around the field. I wasn't initally sure about him but he wouldn't look out of place as a lock reserve for the ABs. Him and Kaino have been shining lights in a poor Super Rugby team.

You may see a couple of guys jump into the World Cup squad who have been previously been in the wider training squads, but I doubt you'll see anything too extreme just because it's World Cup year. The men they've invested time and money into would be first and foremost off the ranks I would imagine.
 
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Just chipping in my thoughts on a few players mentioned here.
*Dagg - Up until his injury, his form in Super rugby this season had been well ahead of the previous two seasons. He was playing well.
*Thrush - Got injured and missed the start of this season. I think he's just easing his way into it. Hansen likes his attitude. For the All Blacks he's the classic old fashioned dirt tracker.
*Broadhurst - I agree with Larksea, he's playing very well. But next season will be his go, if he can hold his form.
*Form players vs Safe Options - The "Safe options" often don't step up until the All Black season is underway. Form in Super 15 isn't always replicated in International rugby.
 
Just chipping in my thoughts on a few players mentioned here.
*Dagg - Up until his injury, his form in Super rugby this season had been well ahead of the previous two seasons. He was playing well.

Shhhh, keep it down buddy!
Any argument built on reason and logic that suggests Dagg has actually had patches of playing pretty well is frowned upon on this site. Unless you're kissing the boots of Ben Smith, people don't want to listen.
 
I dont want to hate on dagg I love the guy. When he was at his best he was ridiculous. Anyone remember that game he had for the highlanders against the bulls where he scored 3? individual trys and kicked goals as well? Those trys against the springboks? That one in particular straight between Smit? and Burger and over the line?

But lets face it disregarding his super rugby form which has been up and down a lot since he moved to the crusaders. The last THREE YEARS he's basically been on autopilot for the All Blacks. maybe 2-3 tests in every 10 he will play well during the same time Ben Smith plays well 8-9 out of 10 tests. And he's not producing any of the standout games or epic plays he could produce up to 2011.

So we're not talking a quiet series or tour or season, we're talking 3 quiet years....

The Red flag for me about his game is that he is often hanging back and not committing to ball in the air coming forward that Ben Smith, piutau or Jane for that matter would commit to 100%

More on broadhurst, I really dont see any down side in selecting him. It's not like he's come from nowhere. He was a top age grade player, he served and apprenticeship behind Jason Eaton and has steadily improved over the last few seasons. He was very good last year and would have been on All Black selection radar and better again this year. He's genuinely big and yet very mobile unlike thrush who is on the small side for test locks and not considered a top level line out option. Few if any locks in NZ can carry a ball and hit the line like Broadhurst can. I think his game is suited to test rugby, his error rate seems low, his workrate his high and he can genuinely come up with big plays during a game.

I still see Thrush as the safe option, Broadhurst as the best form option.

I genuinely dont think we can just win the world cup on cruise control taking all the safe options. Sam Whitelock is still great but he's more of a workhorse these days, still quick but never really been powerful physically.

I also look at the huge impact Retalick makes for the All Blacks, if he is injured thrush isn't going to fill that gap. I see Broadhurst as a good option if Retalick is injured.
 
Broadhurst I think is better suited for test footy than Thrush. Thrush is a real battler and does the graft but has limited impact. Like you say Larksea he is a huge man and smashes into people, reminds me of a South African style lock in a lot of ways. Prior to this season he was error prone, you could pencil him into at least two unforced knock ons a game, but seems to have tightened up a fair bit this season. I think he is better version of Romano and offers a bit more grunt than Thrush. I'd take Retallick, Whitelock, Tuipolotu and Broadhurst as my fourth.

- - - Updated - - -

Shhhh, keep it down buddy!
Any argument built on reason and logic that suggests Dagg has actually had patches of playing pretty well is frowned upon on this site. Unless you're kissing the boots of Ben Smith, people don't want to listen.

Settle down Mr Dagg. Everyone who has criticised him has acknowledged he was stellar in 2011, but that he has failed to consistently hit those sort of heights since. Everyone would love to have an in form Dagg again, he is as good as anyone at his best, but is frustrating to watch him have multiple quiet games when we know what he is capable of, and also when there is another guy who has been in good form in the background.

Dagg has been good this season, playing his best Super season in a while albeit interrupted by injuries.
 
I dont want to hate on dagg I love the guy. When he was at his best he was ridiculous. Anyone remember that game he had for the highlanders against the bulls where he scored 3? individual trys and kicked goals as well? Those trys against the springboks? That one in particular straight between Smit? and Burger and over the line?

But lets face it disregarding his super rugby form which has been up and down a lot since he moved to the crusaders. The last THREE YEARS he's basically been on autopilot for the All Blacks. maybe 2-3 tests in every 10 he will play well during the same time Ben Smith plays well 8-9 out of 10 tests. And he's not producing any of the standout games or epic plays he could produce up to 2011.

So we're not talking a quiet series or tour or season, we're talking 3 quiet years....

The Red flag for me about his game is that he is often hanging back and not committing to ball in the air coming forward that Ben Smith, piutau or Jane for that matter would commit to 100%

More on broadhurst, I really dont see any down side in selecting him. It's not like he's come from nowhere. He was a top age grade player, he served and apprenticeship behind Jason Eaton and has steadily improved over the last few seasons. He was very good last year and would have been on All Black selection radar and better again this year. He's genuinely big and yet very mobile unlike thrush who is on the small side for test locks and not considered a top level line out option. Few if any locks in NZ can carry a ball and hit the line like Broadhurst can. I think his game is suited to test rugby, his error rate seems low, his workrate his high and he can genuinely come up with big plays during a game.

I still see Thrush as the safe option, Broadhurst as the best form option.

I genuinely dont think we can just win the world cup on cruise control taking all the safe options. Sam Whitelock is still great but he's more of a workhorse these days, still quick but never really been powerful physically.

I also look at the huge impact Retalick makes for the All Blacks, if he is injured thrush isn't going to fill that gap. I see Broadhurst as a good option if Retalick is injured.

That just simply isn't true though. For someone who is on autopilot, he outperformed Ben Smith based on the same amount of minutes on last years All Blacks end of year tour. But somehow that doesn't count. Yet even I acknowledge Smith did better in the RC, and magically it counts for all the other critics too.

The stats simply don't back up what you guys are trying to say. I know it'd be nice if they did, but they don't. DonMcdazzle, I guess you're a little new to this argument. 2011 has nothing to with it really. Yep, it was his best year. Time to get over 2011 though. Because as you yourself alluded to, he's played himself back into form in the last year and a bit. And that's what people don't acknowledge - or rather, don't want to acknowledge.
 
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That just simply isn't true though. For someone who is on autopilot, he outperformed Ben Smith based on the same amount of minutes on last years All Blacks end of year tour. But somehow that doesn't count. Yet even I acknowledge Smith did better in the RC, and magically it counts for all the other critics too.

The stats simply don't back up what you guys are trying to say. I know it'd be nice if they did, but they don't. DonMcdazzle, I guess you're a little new to this argument. 2011 has nothing to with it really. Yep, it was his best year. Time to get over 2011 though. Because as you yourself alluded to, he's played himself back into form in the last year and a bit. And that's what people don't acknowledge - or rather, don't want to acknowledge.

Dagg has looked pretty good in the games he has played this year. Prior to this year, however, he has been disappointing. In Super Rugby (excluding this year) he has looked average whilst Ben Smith has shone out, and yet Dagg has retained the 15 jersey throughout. That is what has annoyed people.
 
That just simply isn't true though. For someone who is on autopilot, he outperformed Ben Smith based on the same amount of minutes on last years All Blacks end of year tour. But somehow that doesn't count. Yet even I acknowledge Smith did better in the RC, and magically it counts for all the other critics too.

The stats simply don't back up what you guys are trying to say. I know it'd be nice if they did, but they don't. DonMcdazzle, I guess you're a little new to this argument. 2011 has nothing to with it really. Yep, it was his best year. Time to get over 2011 though. Because as you yourself alluded to, he's played himself back into form in the last year and a bit. And that's what people don't acknowledge - or rather, don't want to acknowledge.

I don't agree he outperformed him at all. He actually made some shocking errors, particularly on blowing opportunities on last passes.

His form this Super Rugby season has been an improvement to the point that if he always played like he has you could probably justify his selection over the last three years. But he has been pretty consistently poor since 2012.
 
But that was then.

This is now. And all I have been trying to say in his form, in places, THIS season, and on the last tour he played for the All Blacks - he actually did pretty good. I'm not talking about 2012 or 2013, etc. That was a period where Ben Smith was amazing and Dagg was not, and entirely a separate conversation. I'm not defending him in those periods. But to suggest he's out of form like "same old same old" I don't this is fair if we're talking recent games.

Keep the dumbass flaming messages coming by the way, ENZED-88. I'm sure the mods will love the personal abuse you keep flooding my messages with just because I have a differing view than you on this. Considering I try to make thoughtful posts on this forum and you just drop by with the occasional ill-informed comment acting like a twit, I don't think you should be allowed to use messaging features.
 
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Ben Smith was out of sorts on the end of year tour he had some sort of injury or health problem.. I firmly believe that as that was the worst iv seen him play in about 4 years. He was stood down a month or so before that for some unusual issue that wasnt widely reported.
 
I didn't think he played badly or anything, just had a quiet tour. And at long last Dagg started finding a bit of form, which has continued in Super Rugby in parts (although Smith outplayed him in the southern clash recently). Don't remember hearing about any health issue?
 
Not a bolter but Andy Ellis is surely our number 2/3 halfback - he is pretty much running the ship in Canterbury. Got to be ahead of last years third choice Pulu anyhow.
Heartening to see Nonu, Dagg, Jane and Carter finding some form too.

Corey Jane's legs have gone. He definitely should not be picked . Tim Nanai Williams should be picked ahead of him.
 
That just simply isn't true though. For someone who is on autopilot, he outperformed Ben Smith based on the same amount of minutes on last years All Blacks end of year tour. But somehow that doesn't count. Yet even I acknowledge Smith did better in the RC, and magically it counts for all the other critics too.

The stats simply don't back up what you guys are trying to say. I know it'd be nice if they did, but they don't. DonMcdazzle, I guess you're a little new to this argument. 2011 has nothing to with it really. Yep, it was his best year. Time to get over 2011 though. Because as you yourself alluded to, he's played himself back into form in the last year and a bit. And that's what people don't acknowledge - or rather, don't want to acknowledge.

The EOY tour was probably Ben Smiths worst form in the last 7 years and really the only quiet patch he's ever had. He obviously had some issues during that period. Played a huge amount of minutes for the highlanders, more than anyone else in the team if I'm not mistaken, he played through an injury, he got sick prior to a test match and lost a significant amount of weight, he was rested for one match after that but he never really recovered till the summer break which basically got him back to the standard he's set for years.

You seem to put a lot of emphasis on stats they will only tell you part of the story. On the field Smith is clearly more confident and committed. Correct me if I'm wrong but I think Daggs stats are heavily buffered by that one sharks game where the crusaders ran riot. The sharks were so poor it's been investigated for match fixing. Week in week out Smith has been a superior player at all levels for the last 4 years.

Smith had another huge game on the weekend. I think his performances kinda go unheralded a bit because we just expect it. Where with Dagg there is a kind of "will he or wont he?" kind of expectation to his play because we know how good he can be but have not truly seen it for so long.

Also think Osborne was superb, Naholo is getting a lot of attention for his finishing but to me Osborne looks like a player more suited to test rugby.

Canes vs. Crusaders was a huge game for looking at relative form & test potential. All 4 all black first fives were good, Slade and Barrett were superb, Taylor was good again and Carter also had a pretty good game.

4 All Black locks as well and I think this was more telling. IMO the two best locks were Whitelock and Broadhurst by a big margin. Thrush looked below par and Colin Slade seemed to have a field day running rings around him.
 
The EOY tour was probably Ben Smiths worst form in the last 7 years and really the only quiet patch he's ever had. He obviously had some issues during that period. Played a huge amount of minutes for the highlanders, more than anyone else in the team if I'm not mistaken, he played through an injury, he got sick prior to a test match and lost a significant amount of weight, he was rested for one match after that but he never really recovered till the summer break which basically got him back to the standard he's set for years.

You seem to put a lot of emphasis on stats they will only tell you part of the story. On the field Smith is clearly more confident and committed. Correct me if I'm wrong but I think Daggs stats are heavily buffered by that one sharks game where the crusaders ran riot. The sharks were so poor it's been investigated for match fixing. Week in week out Smith has been a superior player at all levels for the last 4 years.

Smith had another huge game on the weekend. I think his performances kinda go unheralded a bit because we just expect it. Where with Dagg there is a kind of "will he or wont he?" kind of expectation to his play because we know how good he can be but have not truly seen it for so long.

Also think Osborne was superb, Naholo is getting a lot of attention for his finishing but to me Osborne looks like a player more suited to test rugby.

Canes vs. Crusaders was a huge game for looking at relative form & test potential. All 4 all black first fives were good, Slade and Barrett were superb, Taylor was good again and Carter also had a pretty good game.

4 All Black locks as well and I think this was more telling. IMO the two best locks were Whitelock and Broadhurst by a big margin. Thrush looked below par and Colin Slade seemed to have a field day running rings around him.

I only put any emphasis on the stats because somebody else did in Ben Smith's favor, and I thought that was an interesting conversation. Stats can be funny things, and we often forget that they don't tell the full story as you alluded to. If we want a defensive fullback who is reliable in the tackle every time, then just look at the tackling stats. If you think the match will be a territorial game then Dagg consistently gains more meters by running, and with the boot. It's about what kind of story the stats are telling us - the macro picture. You won't see Hansen drop Dagg just because it isn't 2011. You may see Smith star more consistently over him, but I'd be very surprised if Dagg was left out all together. And not just for experience value. He fits a certain type of game plan. That isn't me being one sided or stubborn - it's been acknowledged by other posters here.

Actually, meters gained and tries contributed were ahead of Smith prior to that Sharks match - although yes, in other areas it did provide a buffer. However, it was also consistent with Dagg's form against the Bulls who I have rated almost all season. Even the South African commentary acknowledged that Dagg's performance against the Sharks was on the back of finding more form in 2015, and the stats certainly show that. There are certain games where the opposition are inept in certain playing areas, and you see Ben Smith's stats get buffers as well. For example, his offloads might be low and then suddenly he makes 9 against a certain team. But I'm not going to sit here and point that out stat by stat, it should just be well known.

There were whispers and stories about Smith's health. How do you know something hasn't been happening in Dagg's life for the past few years that may have effected him? The crux of it is, at the time this conversation started some posters were saying Dagg was out of form. Compared to other years where he's been dire, that's just not true. He's been unlucky to be interrupted by injury and showed a lot of promise again in some areas. I don't care who Hansen pick really. I'm just make the point, there is a lot of Ben Smith bias here. When using the stats for Smith - excellent. When using stats for Dagg - you can't do that! People start changing the goal posts and conflating arguments (not you).

Can I also just mention (again) that the main point I've been trying to make throughout isn't the last 4 years. It's this year, and his most recent All Blacks tour. You seem to think I'm saying Dagg has been better than Ben Smith for the past 4 years. Clearly that's not the case. If you want to have that conversation, you should start a new thread arguing the case, and I'd be inclined to agree with you.
 
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the thing about Dagg is they can't "leave him out" the selectors/coaches have invested so much in him. Backed him year in year out since the last WC to the point where they have to selecting him in WC year 15 is a critical position, it's where you put your best player, much like 10 & 7.

And IMO Dagg needs to repay the faith and start to perform in WC year when its needed.

There very well may be a reason why Daggs form has been up and down, mostly down from 2012 up to now. But it's become the norm rather than the exception. Where as Ben Smiths quiet end to last year was clearly the exception and all it too was the summer break for him to rediscover the form that got him nominated for IRB player of the year in 2013.

It's a very rough observation but I think it's valid when I say it seems like Dagg has a standout performance about 3 of every 10 tests he's played since 2011, where Ben Smith it's more like 7-8 of 10 matches he's a standout.

And I still say week in week out consistently in super rugby and test matches since 2011 the two best players in the NZ game are Brodie Retalick for the Forwards and Ben Smith in the backs. Where prior to 2011 it was Carter & McCaw.
 
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