Okay so been giving a bit more thought to the likely selection changes.
Conclusion is that of the three in the backs 2 make sense.
With the breakdown being a potential issue Burgess will provide go forward ball and better presentation than anyone else we have (Billy is also strong in this aspect). Pretty hard to turnover. He'll also provide some more breakdown work from his experience as a 6. And...he'll relish the confrontation with roberts.
Farrell is in good form, and provides a steadier, more pack oriented 10. I know the Ford fans will pile into me here but i think its a really balanced call against warburton and tipuric.
The choice at 13 is the one that doesn't make much sense. Barritt is likely to be a tackler and not much else. And Farrell more than Ford needs alternative playmakers on the field. Slade is a good defender - quicker than BB and could help our back 3, probably the best part of our attack right now, to get into space.
I know it was only a warm up, but the 10/12/13 play v France at Twickers was some of the best I've seen from us, and that includes the 6N, which was mostly about individual brilliance.
All in all I'm feeling more confident than this time yesterday. Solid set piece and winning the collisions and the breakdown won't be as much of an issue.
Reallt looking forward to this now.