Furlong will stay, he has the IRFU by the balls.
CJ not getting a CC is odd, I'd give him one ahead of PO'M, the man seems to love Munster though so if some outside investment is allowed like it has been we should hopefully keep him, he's a much better player than Conan.
Hendy is in a similar position to Furlong but I imagine like PO'M, he'll look at a good chunk of money being offered and his poor injury profile, realise he's not of the same value as Sexton or a fit Heaslip and stay.
Ringrose should totally be on a CC but I imagine Payne is holding it? He's still studying and just has to look as far as Moore or Madigan to see moving abroad young isn't of great value so I see him staying regardless.
Bowe shouldn't be on a CC, free that spot up for Stockdale.
RK will get one, Schmidt will demand it, injury another factor for him staying too.
The Munster backrows are the only risks I imagine, probably only CJ at that but a one year contract and a retirement plan in England or France are surely more lucrative.