Why would the RFU or FFR pull out of the 6N?
The FFR can mandate the T14 calendar be re-arranged around the expanded 6N.
As for the RFU... what English player is not gonna do everything in their power to get released for international duty with RWC2015 coming up?
All players remain the employees of the clubs, not of the FFR. Multiplying by 2 the number of international fixtures for the sole benefit of the unions using the assets of the clubs (players) is tantamount to spoliation and will never be allowed.
Besides , the French Ministry of Sports is currently at odds with the FFR regarding the new stadium. The French ministry took it very badly that the FFR abandonned the stade de France as it will cost dearly to the state coffer, the income shortfall for the SDF operator is to be compensated by the government as part of the concession contract (although there is a new recently signed concession contract limiting state liability).
In addition clubs owners have been lobbying the ministry of sport for quite a while about the perceived inequality of revenue sharing of the HEC. Clubs owners yield very significant influence over local politicians.
Do you seriously think the government and the ministry of sport will throw away the tax revenues and social contribution from the future competition and will endanger an economic activity representing an aggregate budget of 250 million euros?
Do not bet against the French ministry of sport twisting the arms of the FFR into accepting the new competition, there is far more happening behind the scenes than the eye can see.
The FFR made a serious mistake when Lux was relected in 2011. At the time, based on internal agreement between the LNR and the FFR, 4 of the 5 french votes (cast by FFR) were to be decided by the LNR which was not supportive of Lux. The FFR then took on itself to scrap the agreement and threw its support (5 votes) behind Lux in the name "of the interest of French rugby". This betrayal has never been forgotten nor forgiven, wasting any chance for the ERC to implement the badly needed reforms.
http://www.sport.fr/rugby/erc-jean-pierre-lux-reelu-208927.shtm
In any case, do you seriously think, the LNR followed blindly the PRL without some guarantees at the top decision level. They had more than a year to prepare their coup since they served notice, one year to implement a carefully planned strategy. The official DNACG report was already pointing out the weakness of the H cup revenues (9 fixtures out of 38(29+9), 23% of the total fixtures but less than 10% of the total centralized LNR revenues, and less than 5% of total club revenues).
On aggregate, a top 14 club will get less than 500,000 euros from the H cup, including travel expenses, excluding gate revenues, but will require a significant staff increase to compete. While it remains impossible to know precisely the surplus of players required to compete in Europe, clubs do not currently break even on European competitions.
Why do you think the deadline for the negotiations between the FFR and the LNR to draft the new agreement regarding the availability of international players was set at the end of 2013 ?
Meanwhile, the ERC has just sat on its a** and done nothing.