Priestland & Roberts are fit, but Lydiate's out. The team has been floating around Twitter for about half an hour now, it's as follows-
Leigh Halfpenny; George North, Jonathan Davies, Jamie Roberts, Alex Cuthbert; Rhys Priestland, Mike phillips; Rhys Gill, Huw Bennett, Adam Jones; Ian Evans, Bradley Davies, Ryan Jones, Sam Warburton (c), Toby Faletau
If that's true then I'll be over the moon. Lydiate will be a big loss, but Ryan is in excellent form, and can slot back in well. Gill will be a bit of a surprise if true, because I personally think Bevington is an excellent all round player, who could go someway to filling in for Jenkins' loss in the loose. Probably just not seen enough of Gill recently to fully understand his current form.
Other than that, the team is as expected really. That's a pretty beasty backline, with 5 out of 7 pushing 15 stone (over 16 in Roberts, North and Cuthberts cases). I know it's not a very exciting gameplan, but I'd personally bombard Ireland's centres with wave after wave of hard, straight running. Get them all involved, who the hell do you target when Roberts, North, Davies and Cuthbert are capable of bursting a tackle to score?
Of course, alot of this depends on the forwards producing enough quality ball in the correct areas of the field. We should have the slight edge scrum time, but nothing majour, quality ball should be almost guaranteed though. With Ian Evans, lineout should be reletively good aswell (although this can fall apart at any time it seems). The backrow is still of a very high quality, despite missing Lydiate. I don't think Warburton is quite as effective without his parter in crime, but I'd still expect him to be the dominant figure at the breakdown, especially because Ireland still don't have an out and out 7.
Honestly, if this is the team, I'm feeling reletively confident. Ireland are always gonna be tough at home, and they should probably deservedly go into this game as slight favourites, but I see Wales having the edge in most areas of the game. Ireland's backrow are perfectly capable of really clicking on the day and getting the upper hand (especially with Ferris in such phenomenal form), and O'Connell could completely dismantle our lineout, but I don't think either will happen to such an extent that they'll run away with the game.
I think the ultimate difference between the teams will be Wales' power in the backs, in both attack and defense. So I think we'll edge it by 5-8.
Assuming thats actually the Welsh team I'm gonna do something totally crazy and compare the teams player for player in order to make myself feel better.
1. Healy vs Gill; Bit of a no brainer. Wales are very unfortunate not to have Jenkins. Could be crucial
2. Best vs Bennett; Best is in the form of his career and Huw Bennett's not very good really tbh
3. Ross vs Jones; Bit of a no brainer again. Ross is a "scrum nerd" but Jones is a scrum creep
4. O'Callaghan vs Evans; Really haven't a clue on this 1. I naturally assume o'Callaghan is better because Evans is there by default. Although O'Callaghan is there by brain fart so I'll say this 1 mite be ambiguous.
5. O'Connell vs Davies; Undeniably really
6. Ferris vs Jones; If the game were just decided by comparing them like this Ireland would walk it!
7. O'Brien vs Warburton; Both quality players but Warburton definitely gets it.
8. Heaslip vs Faletau; I'd say i'll hear some complaints about this one. Heaslip's the more proven 8. i accept Faletau may turn around and prove me wrong but as far as I can see he could jsut be a flash in the pan.
9. Murray vs Phillips; Obviously
10. Sexton vs Priestland; And I won't hear another word said about it! Sexton has been playing quality rugby this season. Priestland has failed to capture the form with Scarlets that he had in the World Cup.
11. Trimble vs Cuthbert; Cuthbert's good, Trimble's better
12. D'Arcy vs Roberts; Scary prospect thinking of D'Arcy being run over repeatedly again
13. Earls vs Davies; So scared of this
14. Bowe vs North; Too ambiguous! The Irish will all say Bowe, the Welsh will all say North. I'll go with the neutrals and say they are exactly equal.
15. Kearney vs Halfpenny; I feel bad saying it but with his attacking flair and his place kicking Halfpenny takes it
8 Irish
6 Welsh
1 Equal
We win!
Not sure about Best over Bennett. Bennet was one of the best hookers at the WC, just depends if he can continue that. I'd Say draw.
Ian Evans over DOC any day of the week, considering DOC's current form. Ian Evans is back to something approaching good form. Davies aint no push-over either, although I agree O'Connell would pip it.
Faletau over Heaslip please.
Priestland over Sexton aswell. Priestland is the best NH fly-half at the moment, and was up there as the best in the WC. Sexton is perfectly capable of being better on the day, granted, but still...
Tough decision on North v Bowe as you say. I'd take North, currently in better form.