One would think they would start with kerr considering hes the form player out of three and has now had a year in the saddle at super rugby. I think thats what kept him from starting this year, just his inexperience. But now with his past two seasons with counties being rather excellent, and a year of super rugby he will most likley get the first chance.
I just have a hunch marty Mckenzie will be his backup. Hes a lethal young player who was used sparingly last year, mainly because he was considered purley a fullback, and charles piutau more then adequately filled that role, injury free. Hes an exciting player, and think he will be utilized as much as possible next season. Also if kirwan failed to use him theres no doubt another team would pick him up come 2015.
Chris noakes is an interesting one. His first couple games last year he looked the absolute goods (check his highlights), he was an architect. Then he just completely became useless towards the middle and end of season, especially defensively. I believe his best role in a team is as a squad member with experience to do the job if necessary. This is how the highlanders used him, as there third choice to sopoaga and slade (however those two are always injured so he became the first choice). If injuries strike or players need a rest, atleast you know you got the experience of noakes to step in.
First choice: kerr
Bench: Mckenzie
Squad: noakes