So with 4 rounds gone I've changed my mind a bit. For the next 72 hours this is set in stone:
1. McGrath. Still think Mako's best from the bench.
2. God knows. Owens is probably the form horse. George is favoured by many, but he's been exclusively used by Eng from the bench and I think that will count against him and be his fate again. If Eng win back to back GS it's very hard to look beyond Hartley - he's clearly bringing something to the party and he'd be super motivated against NZ (which could be dangerous). Should ensure set piece solidity.
3. Furlong. Might Sinckler might a be a surprise bolter for the bench?
4. Launchbury. Looks an unlikely athlete and perenially knackered, but a class act who's too good to leave out.
5. AWJ. Mr Consistent. You know he'll be up for the fight and experience counts in his favour.
6. Stander. Handful for anyone. He'll take the fight to the ABs and won't die wondering.
7. Warbs. Back to the heights of old and I think looking odds on to reprise the captain's role. Tough on Tips.
8. Vunipola, B. He'll cause anyone problems. Sometime's he's been Eng's only carrier, pairing him with another big carrier in Stander might mean he's not as closely marked.
9. Murray. Not been hitting the real heights, but still inked in.
10. Bit of a volte face going on here. Ford. You have to be smart as well as physical to beat the ABs and I'm beginning to think the best chance may be with 2 play makers. If going that way I can't see beyond Ford and Farrell as they know each other so well, irrespective of the individual merits of Sexton etc.
11. North. Big game player who'll add physicality to the back line. Just give him the bloody ball.
12. Farrell. Another with big match temperament. As good as any from the tee and under rated in attack.
13. JJ. Shouldn't be any argument, a real class act in both attack and defence.
14. Watson. Any side fears real pace. May work well with Hogg.
15. Hogg. Not the percentage option, but a potential game breaker.
Bench: Mako, George, Cole, Itoje, Tips, Webb, Henshaw, Daly