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Millennium Stadium, Cardiff (11/10/2015, 16:45)
Pool D, Round 4
Referee: Nigel Owens
Ireland did not play that well yesterday v Italy and if the Italian lock had scored the try it could well have been another story, against France it will be hard physical game, probably controlled by both 10's. I personally do not think there is much between the 2 teams, France may have a very small advantage upfront but there is nothing in it. The backs are 50/50, so what is it down too? An interception the bounce of the ball or one player misses one tackle, all these could be enough to swing the game In fact it's now knock out rugby before the final pool game the loser gets The All Blacks and i don't think any or both want that. So 80 mins to see who will have an easier match into the semis, but Argentina are now no walkover, play badly against them and you will lose. The game itself may or may not be the greatest but the tension and pressure will be there so who keeps their heads in the right place, and gives little away in penalties could be looking at the Argentians in the quarters. France by a whisker, but then i would say that.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I feel the French pack is one of the strongest in the tournament and considering Italy had the edge in many of the scrums yesterday I just don't see Ireland being able to live with that. I also think without BOD's Magic they will struggle to breakdown a very strong French back-line. That being said France are always prone to losing their minds and may well be destined to take the All Black challenge in the QF, oh they do love to get in New Zealand's way.
As long as our defence holds up and we remain disciplined, I see us having a small advantage over Ireland. We scored a try over them and they didn't in our defeat at Dublin earlier this year, if we don't give Sexton too much ammunition and if our set piece remains solid we could go for close win in a closed game, something around 18-15.
A lot of these things could easily go wrong for us of course, they often have recently...
I think people don't give Italy the credit they deserve yesterday.
But here I expect the physicality to be a key area. But I've noticed we've been sloppy at the breakdown and France may target is there. The 2 10s will be the key to this game.