After a while yes but initial odds especially for more weird stuff like this are determined by complex statistical analysis more than market perception, odds don't dramatically change unless there is real run on something and bookies want to mitigate their losses, or they want to make it more attractive.Bookies markets are determined more by what people are betting on than what is likely to happen
I once had an interview for developing software to do exactly this sort of thing, it was an interesting job sadly I didn't go past the phone-interview stage.