I feel Wales have a chance against Aus. The losing streak was broken, even if it was in a Lions team. I'd put Wales to beat Tonga and Argentina without too much trouble so the big one will be the first game.
they really 'should' make this a 3 out of 4 at least. I do believe the Boks will beat them, but for the other 3 teams, Wales has what it takes to take the advantage without great difficulty, and are at home.
I think Argentina will match up better than the Wallabies will against Wales specifically, but after a hard fought battle to come against the Boks, they'll be all wound up and prepared for the next 3.
According to the current form sides are on (if Wales can keep their 6N form going), I'd say they would lose by a narrow margin the Boks match, beat Argentina by a humble handful (5pts), beat Tonga rather easily but not as huge as we'd think, and then beat the Wallabies by a good 8points.
* Wales' attack is pretty bad, but they've got the most colossal backs in...the world ? I mean they're all 110KG monsters and they just will break eventually. Tries will be scored.
* They've got a scrum (
huge advantage against Tonga, Wallabies). No way Tonga can beat Wales at home and with that scrum alone.
* Good defense, but in all honesty hasn't been tested this past 6N. France and England were without imagination against Wales, and Scotland and Italy even more so, while Ireland punished them in the opener. We'll see how much they can contain the Boks at home, while Tonga and Australia will also test that Welsh defense.
* HP at the boot, and breakdown: Wales can dominate at the breakdown, and though they rarely show that form, they've got the tools for that to be done. Will be interesting. They'll collect penalties, and they'll make them.
* Discipline: they've shown fine discipline at times during the last 6N, great even for certain matches.