Theres lots of tough choices for lancaster which is why I think he will rely on the midweek games to judge where players are at.
For example even though care is currently our best 9 I think he'll be told to show what he can do against the south african barbarians with a view to possibly coming in for the 2nd test. Makes sense really, as dickson and youngs have done liTtle wrong recently.
I think marler, joe gray and lowe will also be told to prove themselves against the baa baas first. My worry here is that mears will likely start on the bench for the first test and hes hardly the sort of guy I'd want in a muscle-off versus the boks.
I think its very important that the experienced guys are in the 1st test 22 such as palmer at 18 and flood 21.palmers physicality and defence could come to be very useful late on in the match, but we've still got to show confidence in the guys who did so well in the six nations.
With the back row injuries and haskell seemingLy unavailable theres a slight dilemna. Considering dowsons strong showing last week i'd expect to see him feature at 6, robshaw at 7, morgan at 8 and fearns at 19. I suppose another option is 6 johnson 7 robshaw 19 dowson - which of the two depends on who out of fearns and johnson impressed lancaster most, effectively. My feeling is that johnson isn't ready yet to start against the boks.
Oh, theres also (he option of having robshaw at 6 and bringing in fearns at 7, although if lancaster believes fearns' showing against the baa baas justifies this then hes a less sensible man than I thought. Anyway, all we know for sure is that dowson robshaw and morgan will all feature on saturday if fit.
Torn about strettle. Part of me would appreciate having his defence but at the same time I don't think i can bear to see him screw up another try. Otherwise things should stay the same. With farrell at 10 barritt 12 and tuilagi 13:
So: I expect something in this ballpark for mid-week:
1) Mullan
2) Gray
3) Pdj? (Even though will likely bench for first test)
4) Launchbury
5) Robson
6) Johnson
7) Fearns
8) Waldrom
9) Care
10) Ford
11) Wade
12) Allen
13) Lowe
14) Monye
15) Goode