Taking the RFU out of the equation, what (do we think) our red lines for him are?
So ahead of the RWC, what would we consider catastrophe, unacceptable, acceptable, or better than expected?
For me, he's now got the coaches he wanted, and the players he wants; and he's had them in camp for 6-8 weeks and counting, will be 15 weeks by the time the RWC starts.
The warm-ups are just that, they're pre-season matches with international teams, not club; so I'm trying not to read too much into them.
Par at the RWC, given the draw, is a losing semi-final.
If we drop out in the pool stages, then I'll probably be calling for his head.
If we lose the QF, having failed to perform well, I may well be calling for his head.
If we lose the QF, having performed well, and just got beaten by a better team on the day - fair enough, I'll probably be disgruntled, but give him the 6N and June window.
If we lose the SF, he'll have reached par, and earned to reach the 2-year mark to see if he can refresh the squad and start getting some improvements.
If we win the SF, he's probably earned the full 4 year period (barring future bad performances).