Interesting game, I have a feeling the Crusaders might edge it given the current form of the two sides. The travel could play a big role in how well the Crusaders perform though, so I'm expecting the Canes to come out guns blazing hitting the line hard, getting the Crusaders to make a lot of tackles. Probably the game of the competition so far. Can't wait.
Definitely shaping up to be the game of the comp!
Other than home advantage, I think most factors are actually going against the Saders.
As you said, they're coming off a long haul back from Africa, so they could be feeling the effects of that. The Canes on the other hand have had one match at home after a bye, so should be a lot fresher.
The Saders also without of Whitelock. When you add in Read, that's their two main leaders, and probably two best players, so that's a pretty big loss. Whitelock especially has been hugely influential for them this year, both in performance and leadership.
On the other hand though, they've managed well without Read and Romano is a very capable replacement for Whitelock, so maybe they'll cope just fine.
And then there's the Beauden Barrett factor... Mounga's been in great form and this is the biggest match of the year thus far, so I wouldn't be surprised if Barrett goes out to make a big statement. He may well end up being the difference.
All things considered, I'm backing the Canes to win. Just.