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Who do you think will be the new powers of world rugby in the coming decades?

Some fair points PD - although I don't think Georgia are as good as Italy at present, although it's hard to prove either way.

Would it be possible for Russia, Romania and Georgia to band together and make their own version of the Celtic League? Would be a step in the right direction imo, particularly if they could prove there's a TV market there...
 
As I explained above, population and GDP. In a nutshell, New Zealand is a richer country thus has advantages Georgia does not.

Please stop making it sound like I'm slamming Georgia. The program is commendable but has a glass ceiling (like all a lot of other programs.) The ***le of the thread is new world powers (ie New Zealand, Australia, South Africa, England) I simply pointed that Georgia, like Canada, has a glass ceiling. Georgia will not be a world power and I appreciate that you agree with me. Glass ceiling means that even if everything goes perfect, there will still be something beyond Georgia's control holding them back. USA and Russia do not have glass ceilings because of the development structure in those countries. Even as minority sports, they can still make money and attract top talent because of the potential to poach and advertising revenue. It is worth everyones while to develop the sport in these 2 countries.


Romania suffers from similar issues for advertising that Georgia does. Revenue pays for top coaches, transit to games, development and player insurance (the biggest cost.) Having a sustainable revenue stream sets teams up for success. Without a decent revenue stream then you are just a flash in the pan (ie Tonga, Samoa, Fiji.) I propose that Russia and USA have no limits based on population size and infrastructure therefor they are most likely to be world powers.

Rugby is not a rich nation clique, but being a rich nation has huge advantages. Sure Tonga can compete this year, what about next world when all the current crop are a bit old? Or Samoa, where players openly call out the corruption in the program? Or Fiji where half the star players refuse to represent another corrupt program? Those 3 countries recently cracked the top 10 but they do not have sustainable programs and have had poor performances since. Rich countries have an easier time setting up a program while poorer countries have an uphill battle the entire way, typically having the odd flash in the pan teams. I think its great the Pacific Islander nations can compete and I wish someone would come up with a solution for there abysmal programs as the players deserve better.

The Caucasus region is unstable at best. Areas of conflict around Georgia are Chechnya, South Ossetia, Nagarno-Karabkh and Abkhazia. Very unstable region and I'm glad Georgia is trying to be the stable country in that area.


Money matters in sports. Richer programs, more consistent results. Yes Fiji beat italy recently at an junior tournament, good for them, can they replicated that result through their entire program, time after time? Please remember, at no point have I said Georgia does not have a good program, I have stated that they will not be a world power (which this thread is about.)


Im glad to see Georgia has a professional league. How much do they earn and what is the revenue? Money equals better program. Can they earn what Rabo, Super 15 or Premiership teams make? If the answer is no then Glass ceiling proven.

You missed my point on multisport athletes. the trick is get them interested at a young age and teach the fundamentals and game intelligence. From there, they do not need to be tied to a specific program growing up. If they take any sport seriously they will be getting the necessary training. If at a later time, the sport they currently play is no longer feasible for them, then they return to rugby. This works for hockey/lacrosse/baseball in canada, football/basketball/track/baseball in the states. Jason Marshall was only a recent example, Kevin tkachuk would be a much better one.

Russians, despite myself despising them in Hockey, should be able to expand the game in their country. USA/Russia can produce world class athletes, Georgia and Romania would struggle to do so.

Please stop trying to make it sound like I'm saying Georgia is inferior in any way. Many countries have a glass ceiling and this discussion was about the teams that could be new world powers. The easy, logical choices are Russia and USA.
 
As I explained above, population and GDP. In a nutshell, New Zealand is a richer country thus has advantages Georgia does not.

Again, by that logic Tonga wouldn't ever be able to beat France.

There's no issue with the population size as has been mentioned many times, players physically suited to rugby are being found, and rugby is one of the most popular sports.

Also as mentioned, Georgia rugby is expecting a boost in finances from the 143rd richest man in the world who is worth 4.2 billion. Several times more than Georgia's entire GDP.

Please stop making it sound like I'm slamming Georgia. The program is commendable but has a glass ceiling (like all a lot of other programs.) The ***le of the thread is new world powers (ie New Zealand, Australia, South Africa, England) I simply pointed that Georgia, like Canada, has a glass ceiling. Georgia will not be a world power and I appreciate that you agree with me. Glass ceiling means that even if everything goes perfect, there will still be something beyond Georgia's control holding them back. USA and Russia do not have glass ceilings because of the development structure in those countries. Even as minority sports, they can still make money and attract top talent because of the potential to poach and advertising revenue. It is worth everyones while to develop the sport in these 2 countries.

Actually the thread said reach the top 10 nations, read the OP closer.

Yes Russia and USA do have "glass ceilings" as you put. They will never be more than a minority sport in the countries, and be able to attract the top talent and crowds. You say their "development structure" is good, but Russia didn't even qualify for the IRB Junior World Trophy, so their system isn't so good. If they had such a good "development structure" then maybe they could produce a decent prop.

How can USA rugby "poach" top talent from NFL? They can't, you're point here make no sense.

It is obviously much better to have more of the first choice talent, and also much better to have interest, support and decent crowds. Russia and USA will never succeed without rugby union as a major sport, nor an Olympic sport. (Having a Sevens team doesn't mean Union success, ask Kenya).

Smaller nations can succeed in sports, look at Jamaica at Athletics. I don't think any nation can breakthrough into the top 10 under the current international system, but Russia in particular are far behind, their U18 team lost 34-14 to Spain. Georgia's beat Italy.

Romania suffers from similar issues for advertising that Georgia does. Revenue pays for top coaches, transit to games, development and player insurance (the biggest cost.) Having a sustainable revenue stream sets teams up for success. Without a decent revenue stream then you are just a flash in the pan (ie Tonga, Samoa, Fiji.) I propose that Russia and USA have no limits based on population size and infrastructure therefor they are most likely to be world powers.

They are limited based on from that population size, rugby isn't popular. This is like saying Cricket will become big in USA because they have a big population and money, it won't happen because they don't care that much about it (extreme example to rugby).

Rugby is not a rich nation clique, but being a rich nation has huge advantages. Sure Tonga can compete this year, what about next world when all the current crop are a bit old? Or Samoa, where players openly call out the corruption in the program? Or Fiji where half the star players refuse to represent another corrupt program? Those 3 countries recently cracked the top 10 but they do not have sustainable programs and have had poor performances since. Rich countries have an easier time setting up a program while poorer countries have an uphill battle the entire way, typically having the odd flash in the pan teams. I think its great the Pacific Islander nations can compete and I wish someone would come up with a solution for there abysmal programs as the players deserve better.

You just said rugby isn't a rich nation clique. And then use examples of the Pacific Islanders as why rugby can't get strong in Eastern Europe. Eastern Europe isn't to the Pacific Islanders extent of a mess administratively. Samoa, Fiji and Tonga all have proven to have awful boards, but Eastern Europe isn't that bad, so this point is irrelevant.

The Caucasus region is unstable at best. Areas of conflict around Georgia are Chechnya, South Ossetia, Nagarno-Karabkh and Abkhazia. Very unstable region and I'm glad Georgia is trying to be the stable country in that area.

Georgia has been reborn as a democratic, solid, improving country. This hasn't harmed the rugby team anyway, in fact rugby wise Georgia and Russia's boards have by and large stayed out of the messy stuff.

Money matters in sports. Richer programs, more consistent results. Yes Fiji beat italy recently at an junior tournament, good for them, can they replicated that result through their entire program, time after time? Please remember, at no point have I said Georgia does not have a good program, I have stated that they will not be a world power (which this thread is about.)

Again. By that logic, England and France have more money than New Zealand yet who is consistently the best.

Im glad to see Georgia has a professional league. How much do they earn and what is the revenue? Money equals better program. Can they earn what Rabo, Super 15 or Premiership teams make? If the answer is no then Glass ceiling proven.

By that logic Argentina can't compete. Their players play abroad half the world away, it's a much shorter trip between Eastern Europe and France. No they don't earn what any of those leagues have, but Argentina had their entire team nearly all in France, that's what Georgia also should do so the players play at a higher level.

Interesting you say Russia and USA are limitless, when Russia's domestic champions lost to Georgia's, despite Georgia's domestic teams having dozens more of their top players playing in France. North America doesn't have a professional league at all.

You missed my point on multisport athletes. the trick is get them interested at a young age and teach the fundamentals and game intelligence. From there, they do not need to be tied to a specific program growing up. If they take any sport seriously they will be getting the necessary training. If at a later time, the sport they currently play is no longer feasible for them, then they return to rugby. This works for hockey/lacrosse/baseball in canada, football/basketball/track/baseball in the states. Jason Marshall was only a recent example, Kevin tkachuk would be a much better one.

Interesting you use Kevin Tkachuk as an example, the same player who had his international career ended by being destroyed by Davit Zirakashvili in 2010, as Georgia beat Canada, and the same player who a sub standard player for Canada for most of the past decade and a mainstay of their team during their terrible 2004-2008 period, he couldn't even make the 2011 World Cup extended squad. Do you have any examples of decent players in the North American sides?

USA/Russia can produce world class athletes, Georgia and Romania would struggle to do so.

USA having Michael Johnson irrelevant to rugby. We're talking about good rugby players. Georgia produces good rugby players, that is what is important to rugby, and Georgia hasn't struggled to produce them, and have more professionals than North America has. Stop confusing athletes with rugby players. If they're not playing rugby, they're not much use, and if they're world class then they wouldn't be playing rugby.

Anyway a chunky prop with a good scrummaging technique like Adam Jones is more vital to a rugby team than any "world class athletes" you can think of. I would rather have Adam Jones in my side than the "athlete" of the Tom James or Pierre Spies type of "athlete" player any day.

Drop the word athlete, how many world class rugby players does USA/Russia produce?

Anyway why are you judging Georgia and Romania's athletes as poor. Georgia won more Olympic medals (all in Judo/Wrestling) than Ireland or Argentina. Romania finished higher in the medal table than Canada.

Please stop trying to make it sound like I'm saying Georgia is inferior in any way. Many countries have a glass ceiling and this discussion was about the teams that could be new world powers. The easy, logical choices are Russia and USA.

Why Russia? Seriously they are miles worse than some are saying. I'm not even sure they will qualify for RWC 2015, and their junior teams aren't promising. USA do have more promising junior teams on the otherhand though, although currently a decent section of their side is Australian/Pacific Island/South African.

Georgia has improved at a mightily quicker pace at rugby than either of them, and with better youth teams, a billionaire philanthropist president set to invest more, further improvement is likely.
 
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Again, by that logic Tonga wouldn't ever be able to beat France.

There's no issue with the population size as has been mentioned many times, players physically suited to rugby are being found, and rugby is one of the most popular sports.

Also as mentioned, Georgia rugby is expecting a boost in finances from the 143rd richest man in the world who is worth 4.2 billion. Several times more than Georgia's entire GDP.



Actually the thread said reach the top 10 nations, read the OP closer.

Yes Russia and USA do have "glass ceilings" as you put. They will never be more than a minority sport in the countries, and be able to attract the top talent and crowds. You say their "development structure" is good, but Russia didn't even qualify for the IRB Junior World Trophy, so their system isn't so good. If they had such a good "development structure" then maybe they could produce a decent prop.

How can USA rugby "poach" top talent from NFL? They can't, you're point here make no sense.

It is obviously much better to have more of the first choice talent, and also much better to have interest, support and decent crowds. Russia and USA will never succeed without rugby union as a major sport, nor an Olympic sport. (Having a Sevens team doesn't mean Union success, ask Kenya).

Smaller nations can succeed in sports, look at Jamaica at Athletics. I don't think any nation can breakthrough into the top 10 under the current international system, but Russia in particular are far behind, their U18 team lost 34-14 to Spain. Georgia's beat Italy.



They are limited based on from that population size, rugby isn't popular. This is like saying Cricket will become big in USA because they have a big population and money, it won't happen because they don't care that much about it (extreme example to rugby).



You just said rugby isn't a rich nation clique. And then use examples of the Pacific Islanders as why rugby can't get strong in Eastern Europe. Eastern Europe isn't to the Pacific Islanders extent of a mess administratively. Samoa, Fiji and Tonga all have proven to have awful boards, but Eastern Europe isn't that bad, so this point is irrelevant.



Georgia has been reborn as a democratic, solid, improving country. This hasn't harmed the rugby team anyway, in fact rugby wise Georgia and Russia's boards have by and large stayed out of the messy stuff.



Again. By that logic, England and France have more money than New Zealand yet who is consistently the best.



By that logic Argentina can't compete. Their players play abroad half the world away, it's a much shorter trip between Eastern Europe and France. No they don't earn what any of those leagues have, but Argentina had their entire team nearly all in France, that's what Georgia also should do so the players play at a higher level.

Interesting you say Russia and USA are limitless, when Russia's domestic champions lost to Georgia's, despite Georgia's domestic teams having dozens more of their top players playing in France. North America doesn't have a professional league at all.



Interesting you use Kevin Tkachuk as an example, the same player who had his international career ended by being destroyed by Davit Zirakashvili in 2010, as Georgia beat Canada, and the same player who a sub standard player for Canada for most of the past decade and a mainstay of their team during their terrible 2004-2008 period, he couldn't even make the 2011 World Cup extended squad. Do you have any examples of decent players in the North American sides?


USA having Michael Johnson irrelevant to rugby. We're talking about good rugby players. Georgia produces good rugby players, that is what is important to rugby, and Georgia hasn't struggled to produce them, and have more professionals than North America has. Stop confusing athletes with rugby players. If they're not playing rugby, they're not much use, and if they're world class then they wouldn't be playing rugby.

Anyway a chunky prop with a good scrummaging technique like Adam Jones is more vital to a rugby team than any "world class athletes" you can think of. I would rather have Adam Jones in my side than the "athlete" of the Tom James or Pierre Spies type of "athlete" player any day.

Drop the word athlete, how many world class rugby players does USA/Russia produce?

Anyway why are you judging Georgia and Romania's athletes as poor. Georgia won more Olympic medals (all in Judo/Wrestling) than Ireland or Argentina. Romania finished higher in the medal table than Canada.



Why Russia? Seriously they are miles worse than some are saying. I'm not even sure they will qualify for RWC 2015, and their junior teams aren't promising. USA do have more promising junior teams on the otherhand though, although currently a decent section of their side is Australian/Pacific Island/South African.

Georgia has improved at a mightily quicker pace at rugby than either of them, and with better youth teams, a billionaire philanthropist president set to invest more, further improvement is likely.

While I don't disagree with much of the rest of your post Kevin was a solid player who even won the Glasgow Warriors player of the year award. He was never a great scrummager however and by 2010 was suffering from major back issues which led to his retirement and which caused Kieran Crowley to leave him off the extended roster. While not a world class player he was not substandard and is highly thought of in both Canadian and Scottish rugby cirlces to this day.
 
While I don't disagree with much of the rest of your post Kevin was a solid player who even won the Glasgow Warriors player of the year award. He was never a great scrummager however and by 2010 was suffering from major back issues which led to his retirement and which caused Kieran Crowley to leave him off the extended roster. While not a world class player he was not substandard and is highly thought of in both Canadian and Scottish rugby cirlces to this day.

Tkachuk was a solid player that played on a crappy Canadian team on the time... he wouldn't have kept a spot in the Celtic League as an import for so long if he wasn't.
 
I'm not trying to be rude but you are overly sensitive about Georgia. Please stop trying to make it sound like I'm trashing the program. I have made valid, logical arguments and my only point has been that Georgia will not be a world power. I have not said top 10 is out of reach. All I have done is point out the problems the program will face and I have even praised the program for its current achievements.

I have then compared Georgia to countries who I logically think can achieve world power status based on the current sports development structures in those countries. I have also compared Georgia to other tier 2 countries with similar glass ceilings.

I think you are intentionally not understanding my posts and are simply looking for a reason to be angry.

And unfortunately, given the attitude in your post, I know feel I must point out your errors.

Again, by that logic Tonga wouldn't ever be able to beat France.

There's no issue with the population size as has been mentioned many times, players physically suited to rugby are being found, and rugby is one of the most popular sports.

Also as mentioned, Georgia rugby is expecting a boost in finances from the 143rd richest man in the world who is worth 4.2 billion. Several times more than Georgia's entire GDP.

One game victories don't mean anything. Even a few years does not mean anything. It's called flash in the pan. Long term sustainability and development are how teams improve themselves.

I'm glad you find people of a suitable size and you have an altruistic billionaire. That being said, relying on an altruistic billionaire to fund the program proves my previous points on Georgia's financial future.



Actually the thread said reach the top 10 nations, read the OP closer.

My apologies, You still intentionally took my comments out of perspective.


Yes Russia and USA do have "glass ceilings" as you put. They will never be more than a minority sport in the countries, and be able to attract the top talent and crowds. You say their "development structure" is good, but Russia didn't even qualify for the IRB Junior World Trophy, so their system isn't so good. If they had such a good "development structure" then maybe they could produce a decent prop.

How can USA rugby "poach" top talent from NFL? They can't, you're point here make no sense.

It is obviously much better to have more of the first choice talent, and also much better to have interest, support and decent crowds. Russia and USA will never succeed without rugby union as a major sport, nor an Olympic sport. (Having a Sevens team doesn't mean Union success, ask Kenya).

Smaller nations can succeed in sports, look at Jamaica at Athletics. I don't think any nation can breakthrough into the top 10 under the current international system, but Russia in particular are far behind, their U18 team lost 34-14 to Spain. Georgia's beat Italy.



They are limited based on from that population size, rugby isn't popular. This is like saying Cricket will become big in USA because they have a big population and money, it won't happen because they don't care that much about it (extreme example to rugby).

You intentionally ignored my point again. USA and Russia do not have glass ceilings because they control their future. They have no hindering factors like other countries. You also purposely misread the Russia comment. Russia development structure (meaning Olympics, Soccer and Hockey) is very good. As well, I would to point out that there is 13 other positions on a rugby field aside from Prop.

USA would not even attempt to poach NFL. Pointless exercise. However, there are plenty of high calibre athletes that do not make the NFL or CFL every year. If the USA was smart (and they are) an intelligent way to recruit high end athletes is to have rugby programs throughout school and college. Use a similar strategy that is used for basketball and Football.

Your point about having access to first choice talent directly relates to population size. Smaller population with small GDP means smaller revenue = weaker program = less access to top class players.

As previously pointed out, niche sports in large multisport countries do not need to become major sports for it the have success. Perfect example is USA with Hockey. Relatively niche sport (in American terms) yet USA is one of the top teams in the world (2 Olympics finals in last 3 Olympics.)

Jamaica athletics is a bad example. They are more comparable to NZ because of the amount of money in the program and Usain Bolt (Jamaica's brand if you want to call him that.)

As well, USA does not care about cricket because there is no money to be made in cricket in USA. It's a boring, unattractive sport. Rugby however is a entertaining, rough sport with plenty to offer to both hardcore and casual fans. Plus, with the inclusion of the Olympics, the sport should gain more exposure.


You just said rugby isn't a rich nation clique. And then use examples of the Pacific Islanders as why rugby can't get strong in Eastern Europe. Eastern Europe isn't to the Pacific Islanders extent of a mess administratively. Samoa, Fiji and Tonga all have proven to have awful boards, but Eastern Europe isn't that bad, so this point is irrelevant.

You did not understand my example. I have never said rugby cannot succeed in Eastern Europe. I used the Pacific Islander teams as examples of glass ceilings and unsustainable programs. Georgia does not have the same problems. All of the 3 mentioned teams had success at cracking the top 10 but have fallen off (or will fall off) due to lack of a functioning program. This is the effect of a glass ceiling.

Georgia has been reborn as a democratic, solid, improving country. This hasn't harmed the rugby team anyway, in fact rugby wise Georgia and Russia's boards have by and large stayed out of the messy stuff.
Georgia is not the problem, its crazy neighbours are. Good luck finding foreign investors for a country stuck between a bunch of countries that the UN doesn't recognise. Hence, the low GDP.



Again. By that logic, England and France have more money than New Zealand yet who is consistently the best.
Yes NZ is consistently the best. They have the most money. England and France are both world class programs and also happen to have a lot of money. Thank you for proving my point.



By that logic Argentina can't compete. Their players play abroad half the world away, it's a much shorter trip between Eastern Europe and France. No they don't earn what any of those leagues have, but Argentina had their entire team nearly all in France, that's what Georgia also should do so the players play at a higher level.

Interesting you say Russia and USA are limitless, when Russia's domestic champions lost to Georgia's, despite Georgia's domestic teams having dozens more of their top players playing in France. North America doesn't have a professional league at all.
Your point makes no sense. It took a long time for Argentina to become as good as they are now. Hate to remind you, rich country, good program. Argentina has a good program that has built itself up by increasing it revenue stream. Very popular in Argentina and a very easy sell to a country with useful infrastructure. Easy to sell advertising and will only continue higher with the new Rugby Championship.

I'm curious how you define professional. Canada has 2 semi-professional competitions (CRC and BC Premier League.) I imagine some of these players get paid (or may sacrifice a paycheck for betterment of club.)

I still say Russia and USA are limitless in potential. Yes, even if Russia lost a domestic championship to Georgia.



Interesting you use Kevin Tkachuk as an example, the same player who had his international career ended by being destroyed by Davit Zirakashvili in 2010, as Georgia beat Canada, and the same player who a sub standard player for Canada for most of the past decade and a mainstay of their team during their terrible 2004-2008 period, he couldn't even make the 2011 World Cup extended squad. Do you have any examples of decent players in the North American sides?
I'm sorry you don't like Kevin Tkachuk. He had a long successful career and was only on that tour because Canada sent a relatively inexperienced team. This was supposed to his retirement tour (from what i heard) and he was meant to provide an element of calm to the team. If he was so bad why was he one of Glasgows top players for a few years?

If you prefer I'll use Miles craigwell. Perfect example of what's to come. Never played rugby before 2010. Cut by Miami Dolphins. This guy is a safety, not even a running back. Give him a bit more time and watch out.





USA having Michael Johnson irrelevant to rugby. We're talking about good rugby players. Georgia produces good rugby players, that is what is important to rugby, and Georgia hasn't struggled to produce them, and have more professionals than North America has. Stop confusing athletes with rugby players. If they're not playing rugby, they're not much use, and if they're world class then they wouldn't be playing rugby.

Anyway a chunky prop with a good scrummaging technique like Adam Jones is more vital to a rugby team than any "world class athletes" you can think of. I would rather have Adam Jones in my side than the "athlete" of the Tom James or Pierre Spies type of "athlete" player any day.

Drop the word athlete, how many world class rugby players does USA/Russia produce?

Anyway why are you judging Georgia and Romania's athletes as poor. Georgia won more Olympic medals (all in Judo/Wrestling) than Ireland or Argentina. Romania finished higher in the medal table than Canada.
Rugby players are athletes. Athletes are developed.

Good for Georgia having more professionals but why is their backline so anemic? As well, Dan Carter is a world class, elite level athlete and is more valuable than anyone you mentioned.

USA has 1 world class rugby player (Ngwenya.) Georgia 1 (Gorgodze), Romania 0, Russia 0.

How many elite level athletes has Georgia/Romania produced? None. USA/Russia? Ridiculous amount.

Georgia/Romania are poor performing countries in athletics. Georgia's only medals were in judo/wrestling. Romania had 9 medals (2 gold, 5 silver, 2 bronze) in shooting, gymnastics, weightlifting, judo.
Canada had 18 medals (1 gold, 5 silver,12 bronze) in a variety of sports. Summer olympics also get half the funding winter olympics get (where Canada was 26 medals 14 gold, 7 silver, 5 bronze.) Romania and Georgia had 0 each. USA and Russia finished much higher than Canada in both events.
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Why Russia? Seriously they are miles worse than some are saying. I'm not even sure they will qualify for RWC 2015, and their junior teams aren't promising. USA do have more promising junior teams on the otherhand though, although currently a decent section of their side is Australian/Pacific Island/South African.

Georgia has improved at a mightily quicker pace at rugby than either of them, and with better youth teams, a billionaire philanthropist president set to invest more, further improvement is likely.

I think you might have a prejudice against Russia for some reason.
 
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No chance that USA rugby well get any benefit from the NFL dude. For every Miles Craigwell that rugby gets, it loses a Haloti Ngata...
 
As well, USA does not care about cricket because there is no money to be made in cricket in USA. It's a boring, unattractive sport. Rugby however is a entertaining, rough sport with plenty to offer to both hardcore and casual fans. Plus, with the inclusion of the Olympics, the sport should gain more exposure.


Yes NZ is consistently the best. They have the most money. England and France are both world class programs and also happen to have a lot of money. Thank you for proving my point.


USA has 1 world class rugby player (Ngwenya.) Georgia 1 (Gorgodze), Romania 0, Russia 0.

Lol much of what you have written I personally disagree with, but these one's made me laugh

Cricket is a great sport, it is very appealing. USA would find it very hard to get in as it is a bit of a boys club any way. I'd imagine cricket would still have a bit of a following in the USA by expat Indian's.

NZ has the most money in World Rugby? I know they have the biggest sponsorship deals but lets be realistic here, sponsorship is not the only way Rugby Union's earn cash. NZRFU would have a fraction of the wealth of the French, English and SA rugby unions.

Ngwenya world class? What does world class mean to you? He's not world class IMO.
 
I have then compared Georgia to countries who I logically think can achieve world power status based on the current sports development structures in those countries. I have also compared Georgia to other tier 2 countries with similar glass ceilings.

USA has never been a top nation in a sport which they don't own, or isn't an Olympic sport.

They are undoubtedly improving at rugby and evidence is their Junior team this year, but their senior team has a fair amount of expats, if they had such a good development structure they wouldn't need them.

I think you are intentionally not understanding my posts and are simply looking for a reason to be angry.

And unfortunately, given the attitude in your post, I know feel I must point out your errors.

Nope, not at all. Sorry you interpreted it that way.

I'm glad you find people of a suitable size and you have an altruistic billionaire. That being said, relying on an altruistic billionaire to fund the program proves my previous points on Georgia's financial future.

Georgia isn't reliant. And especially wouldn't be if they got more opportunities and benefited from bigger TV deals of getting into bigger tournaments.

You intentionally ignored my point again. USA and Russia do not have glass ceilings because they control their future. They have no hindering factors like other countries. You also purposely misread the Russia comment. Russia development structure (meaning Olympics, Soccer and Hockey) is very good. As well, I would to point out that there is 13 other positions on a rugby field aside from Prop.

You are ignoring the USA and Russia's hindering factors. Rugby is not popular there. They have a glass ceiling, because they will never be a top sport in the nations. Certainly not within the next 40 years.

I highlight prop as it is a position you can't just put a big guy in and expect to do well. They have to master the technique and the skill of it, in modern day rugby if you don't have at least a passable scrum you will struggle. It basically single handedly cost Canada their fixture with Italy.

World class prop who will always have to scrummage every time in the game > World class winger who doesn't get the ball as the scrum can't win their own ball.

USA would not even attempt to poach NFL. Pointless exercise. However, there are plenty of high calibre athletes that do not make the NFL or CFL every year. If the USA was smart (and they are) an intelligent way to recruit high end athletes is to have rugby programs throughout school and college. Use a similar strategy that is used for basketball and Football.

As TRF_Nickdnz points out, rugby does not benefit from NFL. The amount of potential skilled players they lose from it would be far greater than players they gain, most NFL rejects would probably just go to an ordinary job anyway.

Besides there is no guarantee they would be a top rugby player anyway. For every Dan Lyle you got, there would be a Tom James. A very quick player with an athletics background, but with no idea of how to play rugby.

Your point about having access to first choice talent directly relates to population size. Smaller population with small GDP means smaller revenue = weaker program = less access to top class players.

Georgia's program sends players out to France to play a higher level of rugby (like Argentina used to develop players), so in effect the players go through the same system as the French players do. Players like Tamaz Mchelidze, Merab Sharikadze have both been sent to Western Europe as teenagers.

As previously pointed out, niche sports in large multisport countries do not need to become major sports for it the have success. Perfect example is USA with Hockey. Relatively niche sport (in American terms) yet USA is one of the top teams in the world (2 Olympics finals in last 3 Olympics.)

Do you have any examples which aren't Olympic sports?

Soccer (football) is the nearest they've got to a good team in a sport which the US doesn't own, or isn't an Olympic sport.

Jamaica athletics is a bad example. They are more comparable to NZ because of the amount of money in the program and Usain Bolt (Jamaica's brand if you want to call him that.)

Exactly. You say that now, but where were they earlier in the 1980's and 1990's?

They haven't always had that money in their system, they have got it now as they got a world class generation, but they didn't before.

If Georgia or any other nation got a golden generation which led it to rise, then the money and sponsorship would come with the success. If any country became a top nation in a sport they would get more money than being lower ranked, that is obvious, and it would apply to Georgia too.

As well, USA does not care about cricket because there is no money to be made in cricket in USA. It's a boring, unattractive sport. Rugby however is a entertaining, rough sport with plenty to offer to both hardcore and casual fans. Plus, with the inclusion of the Olympics, the sport should gain more exposure.

That's just your opinion.

Georgia is not the problem, its crazy neighbours are. Good luck finding foreign investors for a country stuck between a bunch of countries that the UN doesn't recognise. Hence, the low GDP.

Pakistan are one of the craziest countries there are and it borders a war torn Afghanistan, yet they themselves can excel in cricket. By your logic, Russia couldn't excel as it borders a crazy country in Belarus next to it. Ethiopia and Kenya both excel at Athletics and they are bordering the worst country in the world in Somalia.

Yes NZ is consistently the best. They have the most money. England and France are both world class programs and also happen to have a lot of money. Thank you for proving my point.

New Zealand don't have the most money. If they did, then they wouldn't lose players to the Northern Hemisphere, and Sonny Bill Williams would still be with them.

Your point makes no sense. It took a long time for Argentina to become as good as they are now. Hate to remind you, rich country, good program. Argentina has a good program that has built itself up by increasing it revenue stream. Very popular in Argentina and a very easy sell to a country with useful infrastructure. Easy to sell advertising and will only continue higher with the new Rugby Championship.

What makes you think Argentina has a good program?

They were lucky by their timing. They would have got left behind post professionalism (much like Canada, Romania both did), but were lucky to have a good generation that beat Ireland in the 1999 World Cup, and after that there was an explosion in Argentines getting pro contracts in France and to a lesser extent England.

This meant that Argentine players could continue to play and train professionally, and the amount of Argentines going there has continued ever since.

If all Argentina's players had stayed in the Argentine amateur system, they would have never been a force in professional rugby and would have struggled. You talk of their program, but their program hasn't always been that good, until recent strides to add a small amount of professionalism with the best Argentine based players. An example of how their own system has been poor is their lack of a good domestic league which is amateur, you make it seem like they have been pouring money into their system for years. They now have with IRB funding had to get their act together domestically, but before very recent developments, the best Argentines would most of time have to travel to France or England aged 20 and play professionally to aid their career.

They could still get around the fact their own domestic system was a poor relation to other Tier 1 nations by exporting their players to play professionally elsewhere. You see this in football too, dozens of the top South American, Eastern European and African footballers go to play a better standard in Western Europe, meaning they get benefits from the richer nations such as England, France etc.

Georgia has essentially done the same thing, they send most of the players to play in France and play a higher standard, and it's worked. This is actually exactly what Argentina did as well.

I'm sorry you don't like Kevin Tkachuk. He had a long successful career and was only on that tour because Canada sent a relatively inexperienced team. This was supposed to his retirement tour (from what i heard) and he was meant to provide an element of calm to the team. If he was so bad why was he one of Glasgows top players for a few years?

He was hardly one of Glasgow's "top players" to be honest, he was an honest squad player at best, and couldn't hold his own against the top international scrums. I remember watching a Wales vs Canada match from a few years ago and he was struggling. Never remember him being particularly special at club level either, he was more of a squad reserve.

If you prefer I'll use Miles craigwell. Perfect example of what's to come. Never played rugby before 2010. Cut by Miami Dolphins. This guy is a safety, not even a running back. Give him a bit more time and watch out.



We'll see. Looks like he just plays Sevens from that video.

Good for Georgia having more professionals but why is their backline so anemic? As well, Dan Carter is a world class, elite level athlete and is more valuable than anyone you mentioned.

Having the base of the pack is most important, then build on the backs later. Prop, number 8 and fly half are the most important positions.

You mention Dan Carter, but he may not have been as good had he played behind a dreadful pack, and also may not have been as good had he not had quality players at the Crusaders to learn from.

Stop calling players athletes as well, Dan Carter is a world class rugby player.

Georgia with a solid pack, can give whoever the next young fly half is more chance to develop and more chances to try risks behind a solid base. Also with more professionals in France, the players can learn alongside better players. For example Vito Kolelishvili the Georgian back rower who has been part of the Clermont academy for a few years and got a full contract this season.

USA has 1 world class rugby player (Ngwenya.) Georgia 1 (Gorgodze), Romania 0, Russia 0.

Ngwenya is another player who is simply fast but lacks other skills. True he has got some special tries. But he isn't a world class rugby player, he's just fast. He also wasn't really that effective in the RWC for USA anyway as he hardly got the ball, he's the kind of player who's good for the good teams who can provide space and opportunities for him, but won't make opportunities for himself and make bad teams good. USA's best player is Todd Clever, he's a lot more important than Ngwenya.

How many elite level athletes has Georgia/Romania produced? None. USA/Russia? Ridiculous amount.

Of course USA and Russia have more sport stars, but they have them in sports they like such as NBA or NFL either that or in Olympic sports.

Who has produced more top level rugby players?

By your logic, the USA could be the best at cricket because they have Tiger Woods. It's irrelevant.

Georgia/Romania are poor performing countries in athletics. Georgia's only medals were in judo/wrestling. Romania had 9 medals (2 gold, 5 silver, 2 bronze) in shooting, gymnastics, weightlifting, judo.

That is not rugby. Shane Horgan wouldn't be a top sprinter, neither could you just pluck an Olympic sprinter an expect them to become the best winger.

Georgia have more high performing rugby players in the Top 14, than USA or Russia. I would say that is more relevant.

Besides having good wrestlers would be more compatible with rugby than a good 400 metre runner anyway to be honest.

Canada had 18 medals (1 gold, 5 silver,12 bronze) in a variety of sports. Summer olympics also get half the funding winter olympics get (where Canada was 26 medals 14 gold, 7 silver, 5 bronze.) Romania and Georgia had 0 each. USA and Russia finished much higher than Canada in both events.

Nobody cares about the Winter Olympics outside the snowy countries. Seriously in the UK where I live, nobody cares that we are crap at the Winter Olympics. I wouldn't be surprised if it was the same in other countries too.

I think you might have a prejudice against Russia for some reason.

Nope. Just presenting facts to people who probably haven't seen the side play, have little knowledge of rugby there, and are over hyping them.

All of the following are facts.

- They senior team lost 46-0 to Georgia, and 25-0 to Romania this year.
- They finished 4th in the ENC this year, if they finish that low again they are eliminated from RWC 2015.
- Their U18 team lost 34-14 to Spain this year
- Their scrum is the joke of the ENC
- They failed to qualify for the IRB Junior World Trophy
- Their matches aren't shown on TV
- Their national team matches are played in front of empty stadiums

No chance that USA rugby well get any benefit from the NFL dude. For every Miles Craigwell that rugby gets, it loses a Haloti Ngata...

They also lost Hayden Smith, their top lineout lock and professional with Saracens, to be just in the practice squad of the NY Jets.
 
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How can USA rugby "poach" top talent from NFL?

It's usually the other way round. Gridiron football is a 'lazy' sport, a game of short spurts of action and lots of standing around with hands on hips, awaiting the next play. Many players aren't fit enough to run the pitch for 40 minutes at a pop. And the top players don't play year round because there's no international competition. And NFL players get paid a lot more, too. More pay and more glory for far less effort. It's hard to compete with that.


das
 
Would it be possible for Russia, Romania and Georgia to band together and make their own version of the Celtic League? Would be a step in the right direction imo, particularly if they could prove there's a TV market there...
An interesting idea. I know in ice hockey the old Russian Superleague has expanded into the Kontinental Hockey League (KHL) and has teams competing from Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Czech Rep, Finland, Slovakia, Latvia and Kazakhstan.

Pie in the sky stuff but it'd be interesting to see if some moneyed oligarchs, the Russian government (now that Sevens is part of the Olympics), the Georgian government, the Romanian Rugby Union and the IRB could reach some sort of deal to start a cross border competition in eastern Europe. It could work or it could end up a financial disaster like the NA4 and Churchill Cup.
 
USA has 1 world class rugby player (Ngwenya) Georgia 1 (Gorgodze), Romania 0, Russia 0.

How many elite level athletes has Georgia/Romania produced? None. USA/Russia? Ridiculous amount.

Georgia/Romania are poor performing countries in athletics. Georgia's only medals were in judo/wrestling. Romania had 9 medals (2 gold, 5 silver, 2 bronze) in shooting, gymnastics, weightlifting, judo.
Canada had 18 medals (1 gold, 5 silver,12 bronze) in a variety of sports. Summer olympics also get half the funding winter olympics get (where Canada was 26 medals 14 gold, 7 silver, 5 bronze.) Romania and Georgia had 0 each. USA and Russia finished much higher than Canada in both events.
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Wooot *Facepalm*...
1)Georgia only plays limited amount of sports, We do not have sprinters bikers lacrosse cricket etc etc etc.... 95% of Georgian athletes are in Rugby, Football, Basketball, Wrestling(the others sports are just made up of 5%)

2)out of these 4 in 3 we are very much successful(football is an exception) In basketball we are doing better than several Eastern European countries that are Basketball crazy

3) I wont even start on wrestling for last 100 years we have produced 42 World champions 56 European champions and countless medal holders)Japan and Russia Studied Georgian wrestling so they could improve theirs for Chris-sake! when it comes to medal per Athlete Georgia is doing better than a lot of more successful countries

4) 1 world class are you serious ? what about Zirakishvili, Jgenti, Kubriashvili, etc -_-


5) When we say world power we mean top 10! and in the next few years we will definitely reach it.. we would have already if we had more support from IRB


6) This Conversation is pretty useless, Just wait till November Watch the November tests so you guys actually know how Georgia plays!

TYVM
 
Would it be possible for Russia, Romania and Georgia to band together and make their own version of the Celtic League? Would be a step in the right direction imo, particularly if they could prove there's a TV market there...

It is difficult, as although in large the Russian and Georgian boards have avoided silly stuff between them, it isn't so easy to travel in between the countries.

What is more realistic though, is along with the ERC reform of the Heineken Cup, a new tournament is formed for the Tier 2 countries.

There is rumour of possibly of 8-20 club teams from the likes of Russia, Spain, Portugal, Georgia and Romania. And serve as a sort of qualifying tournament to get into the Amlin Challenge Cup, with the winners/runners up qualifying.

I just hope they get rid of the Italian teams, now Italy has a system like Scotland, Ireland and Wales with pro teams, and a domestic feeder league, the teams from the feeder league shouldn't be in the Amlin Challenge Cup. It is the equivalent of having AIB League, Scottish Premiership or Principality Premiership teams in the tournament. Also they get thrashed and their attendances barely pass 1000.
 
It is difficult, as although in large the Russian and Georgian boards have avoided silly stuff between them, it isn't so easy to travel in between the countries.

What is more realistic though, is along with the ERC reform of the Heineken Cup, a new tournament is formed for the Tier 2 countries.

There is rumour of possibly of 8-20 club teams from the likes of Russia, Spain, Portugal, Georgia and Romania. And serve as a sort of qualifying tournament to get into the Amlin Challenge Cup, with the winners/runners up qualifying.

I just hope they get rid of the Italian teams, now Italy has a system like Scotland, Ireland and Wales with pro teams, and a domestic feeder league, the teams from the feeder league shouldn't be in the Amlin Challenge Cup. It is the equivalent of having AIB League, Scottish Premiership or Principality Premiership teams in the tournament. Also they get thrashed and their attendances barely pass 1000.

Had thought that might be the case - would that new tournament be something like the Amlin now is, or more of an overarching league? Because I think a high level of everyday competition is the most important thing, along with tv revenues for it. And, yeah, the Italian teams shouldn't really be in the Amlin.
 
My last reply on this subject because you have listened to anything I have said.

Georgia is a good developing rugby nation which can reach the top 10. Top 10 is not World Power. NZ is a world power. They have a good program but they will not achieve what the All Blacks do. I have pointed out that poor GDP and population size as the reason. As well, given the lack of athletics success in other sports, there is a relatively weak sports infrastructure available for rugby. Essentially, an already cash strapped program has to do it all. Georgia economic position is not likely to change because it is literally surrounded by unstable, corrupt countries and they have no major exports that have not yet been exploited.

A golden generation will not alleviate any of the above issues. If anything it would make the program suffer more in the long run due to the higher associated insurance costs for having many elite players.

Georgia is not an elite level country in any sport but wrestling.

If you do not understand the above then you need to stop drinking the kool-aid.

USA dominates both winter and summer Olympics, NFL, basketball, baseball, hockey, lacrosse and an above average soccer team. The only sports they aren't above average in are cricket and rugby.
Russia dominates both winter and summer olympics, hockey, above average soccer team. They do not traditionally play racket sports and are not a good rugby program.
Georgia has medals in wrestling.

Your solution to disregard all the above sports is ridiculous. As well, hockey, american football, lacrosse and basketball are all Canadian sports. Your argument is like England isn't good at any sports they don't invent.

Both USA and Russia have a sport program designed around multisports athletes. This program can easily be applied to rugby.

Rugby players are athletes. And no wrestlers would not be suited for wings. USA can pull from a wide variety sports with applicable skills. This philosophy is used to develop almost every USA athlete.
Russia is similar but generally puts all there chips on hockey and soccer.

These countries do not have a glass ceiling. They just need to sell the sports and get money. Money=better programs=better access to top players. That also does not account for insurance fees for players. Your failure to understand that is your own loss. I will not get into Argentina with you because you do refuse to understand how the budgets work and what the costs are. An example is, France's 2012 budget is 83 million and 56 million of that is spent on player insurance. France also gets 25% of the budget paid by advertising and another 25% on TV rights.

Union budgets are separate from club budgets.

If you want to discuss anything I missed feel free but I doubt I'll get a chance to reply for awhile.
 
Who said wrestlers = wings? If anything, wrestlers are better suited at the front row due to the balance needed and manipulation of the other player's weight.
 
Ok I don't mean to sound like a psycho, but I don't understand what's the argument about here... are you comparing Georgia(one of the tiny nations in the world) to 3 of the largest nations 0.o ? Ok fine lets do that
Georgia = 4.5-5 million population,
developing country,
Very supportive of rugby
Economy is due to grow vastly in coming few years and as it as was the case for last 20 years rugby grows along with it!
Has yet to reach its full potential in just about everything.
with all due respect Rugby in Georgia is far more popular than in Russia USA Canada

now keep in mind that Georgia has 5k players
Canada =43k
USA = 276k(holy crap)
Russia =20k
Also Canada and USA are not developing countries so the change is a lot slower! Russia still can be considered developing since it looks like a junkyard if we dont count Moscow and Peter
while all three have better 1) rugby facilities 2)financing 3) support from IRB
YET WE STILL ARE NOT THAT MUCH BETTER THAN Georgia ? in fact Georgia is better than 2 of them and pretty much even with the third one

when you say Georgia has no potential to grow what do you mean ? 5 million people can not produce 20k athletes ? I't can and it will. when it does the quality in Georgian game will improve drastically(keep in mind that economy will improve too) and overtake such opposition as USA, Russia, Fiji, Tonga, Canada, Samoa, Canada, Italy with ease. I think we will probably be around Ireland/Scotland level .. somewhere in between

Also i noticed you don't understand the role wrestling plays in Georgian rugby so let me explain... Wrestling develops a lot of skills that help rugby players.. in fact most of the rugby players in Georgia were wrestlers in good old times and that is why Georgia produced so many talented ruggers in such a short time(have you ever wondered why Georgia of all countries became so successful ? why wasn't it Germany or idk Brazil ? because of wrestling traditions (and also lelo which is old Georgian game similar to rugby)

I'm sure if 5 k can compete with 40k now
20 will be able to compete with 80 a lot better

Also World power doesn't mean the champion or all time best team. I would define it as a team that is favorite to qualify for the playoffs in the world cup. so yeah This is who i consider world powers atm NZ, SA, AUS, ENG, Wales, IRE, FRA, ARG

Tired of writing

Cheers
 
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Who said wrestlers = wings? If anything, wrestlers are better suited at the front row due to the balance needed and manipulation of the other player's weight.
Yep idk why that caused confusion
 
Ok I don't mean to sound like a psycho, but I don't understand what's the argument about here... are you comparing Georgia(one of the tiny nations in the world) to 3 of the largest nations 0.o ? Ok fine lets do that
Georgia = 4.5-5 million population,
developing country,
Very supportive of rugby
Economy is due to grow vastly in coming few years and as it as was the case for last 20 years rugby grows along with it!
Has yet to reach its full potential in just about everything.
with all due respect Rugby in Georgia is far more popular than in Russia USA Canada

now keep in mind that Georgia has 5k players
Canada =43k
USA = 276k(holy crap)
Russia =20k
Also Canada and USA are not developing countries so the change is a lot slower! Russia still can be considered developing since it looks like a junkyard if we dont count Moscow and Peter
while all three have better 1) rugby facilities 2)financing 3) support from IRB
YET WE STILL ARE NOT THAT MUCH BETTER THAN Georgia ? in fact Georgia is better than 2 of them and pretty much even with the third one

when you say Georgia has no potential to grow what do you mean ? 5 million people can not produce 20k athletes ? I't can and it will. when it does the quality in Georgian game will improve drastically(keep in mind that economy will improve too) and overtake such opposition as USA, Russia, Fiji, Tonga, Canada, Samoa, Canada, Italy with ease. I think we will probably be around Ireland/Scotland level .. somewhere in between

Also i noticed you don't understand the role wrestling plays in Georgian rugby so let me explain... Wrestling develops a lot of skills that help rugby players.. in fact most of the rugby players in Georgia were wrestlers in good old times and that is why Georgia produced so many talented ruggers in such a short time(have you ever wondered why Georgia of all countries became so successful ? why wasn't it Germany or idk Brazil ? because of wrestling traditions (and also lelo which is old Georgian game similar to rugby)

I'm sure if 5 k can compete with 40k now
20 will be able to compete with 80 a lot better

Also World power doesn't mean the champion or all time best team. I would define it as a team that is favorite to qualify for the playoffs in the world cup. so yeah This is who i consider world powers atm NZ, SA, AUS, ENG, Wales, IRE, FRA, ARG

Tired of writing

Cheers

Read through first paragraph of my previous post. States what I think Georgia's limits are.

And no wrestlers don't make good Wings.
 
And no wrestlers don't make good Wings.

You clearly don't know what you're talking about. Russia's winger Vladimir Ostroushko who is one of the best Tier 2 wingers was a wrestler.

Besides as I stated before, props, back rows and fly halves are more valuable to a team anyway.

A team with a good pack but limited backs would always beat the team with good backs but poor pack. See Scarlets vs Ospreys.

Teams without scrummaging capabilities normally struggle, it is essential to get a scrum that holds it own or in modern day rugby or you are conceding several points a match against the good scrummaging teams. See Cardiff Blues (who away from their awful scrum, have several Wales internationals in their side).

If you offered my team Adam Jones as a prop but Tom Isaacs as a wing, or Scott Andrews as a prop and Alex Cuthbert as a wing. I would choose the quality prop with crap winger ahead of the crap prop with quality winger every time.

Besides even if the USA get a super fast athlete on their wing, it doesn't necessarily mean they are a good rugby player. See Tom James.

As explained before, USA doesn't benefit from NFL, it hinders interest and also lessens talent.

It is also a lot easier to develop good backs in the future behind a good pack.
 
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