The only 12's I'd consider are Farrell or Henshaw. Henshaw is definitely taking one of the centre spots, operating at a different level for a while now.
I do like Huw Jones though, he's definitely more Gatland than Ringrose who I'd rather go to North America, I predict both to improve their stock over the 6n too.
Yep - I'm 100% in agreement with you there. Henshaw is excellent at 12 or 13 which makes him an obvious pick to tour and a very strong contender to start in the centre.
I actually the emergence of Ringrose is a bonus for Gatland as there's a fairly good chance that Schmidt could go in to the 6N playing Henshaw at 12, Ringrose at 13 and Payne at 15. I don't think Ringrose will make the tour, but Henshaw at 12 and Payne at 15 are definitely possibilities for the Lions, so it would be beneficial for Gatland (and Ireland) to have them playing in arguably their strongest positions.
IMO, there's not much to choose between Ringrose and Jones. Both are definitely in the 'bolter' category, but with the likes of Joseph, Davies, Payne (as a 13) and Daly providing quality and experience at outside centre, I'd be surprised if Gatland goes for for either Ringrose or Jones unless injuries force his hand.
Are you favouring Farrell because of his goal kicking or you think he's a better inside centre than Manu, Dunbar and the other specialists in that position? I imagine 1/2P will start at 15 which means goal kicking is covered. Agree Henshaw should be in. I can see the logic in having Farrell as cover for 12 and 10 but not sure if versatility trumps specialism given that replacements can be easily called upon.
Farrell deserves his place either as a 10 or a 12 IMO. It's so much more than just his kicking. I wasn't a huge fan of him moving to 12 for England, but he's started to convince me that he can perform the role of a playmaking 12 and I find it hard to see how anyone can seriously question his abilities as a 10 given Saracens success domestically and in Europe. He's not popular, but he is (deservedly) a certain tourist.
Manu isn't an option until he can prove his fitness and considering the extent of his injury problems in the past 18 months or so, that's nowhere near a given. I think he also needs to prove he can adapt to playing 12 - particularly in defence - before he's a serious option. I hope he does, but we've seen a few false dawns with Manu already ...
I rate Dunbar and I think he's an excellent all-rounder, but I don't see him having the 'point of difference' the others offer to shoehorn his way in to the squad.