Hey melhor, good to see a familiar face here. My old alias was Ws4life on here and you may remember me from the old IRB forum from a few years back..how you been ?
Interesting squad...though I'm astounded u left out Kahn Fotuali'i out of the starting line up..the guy was a star for Samoa when they picked him up for the end of year international tests. He could just about start in any international side and you have on the bench?...interesting. Salavea is one in your line up which has failed to impress me in his games for Samoa and i would have him on the bench at best...you are right though with Samoa having a decent stock of players available at number 6 and 8 but very thin at number 7. Lots of hard hitting runners and tacklers in the loose forwards but none that can reliably and consistently turn the ball over at the break down.We've lacked a true pilfering number 7 for god knows how long (I cant remember the last since I started following the Manu back in 2003). The one that comes to mind is Maurie Faasavalu. He could've been great but moved to league after the world cup in 2003. He has since moved back to union, but I feel its too late for him to develop into the pilfering open side flanker we've been searching for ever since he intitially left out. Salavea for me is not the answer. I would prefer Jack Lam or Faifili Levave if they make themselves available....if not George Stowers, or Ofisa Treviranus as our other options. One last player I'll touch on in your line up, David Lemi. I hear good things about him playing at club level, yet there hasn't been a game I've seen him play for Samoa which has had him standout for me. He has had amble chances to shine, but has yet to done anything spectacular. 5 tries in 25 tests just isn't enough for a wing at international level. I Feel Alesena Tuilagi and Sailosi Tagicakibau Are bigger impact players with more to offer and should be our starters, with An in form Mikaele Pesamino (I don't care what others are saying about him, but in last years PNC for me he was their player of the tournament) the next player down in our depth.
I do agree that Samoa will find it tough to beat South Africa, Wales and Fiji. Fiji will be a 50/50 game as both teams are pretty equal and I feel it just depends on whose day it turns out to be (hopefully Samoa)
Wales I'm sure will be frothing at the mouth to avenge all their past world cup humiliations in one World Cup showing so I'm expecting them to come prepared and ready to fire. Samoa (or Fiji for that matter) will have to play at their absolute BEST for them to have a chance to topple the welsh. South Africa always tends to be too much of a handful for Samoa even at their best but who knows...fellow islanders Tonga proved anything is possible at the last world cup, with only the bounce of the ball in the dying seconds 5 meters out from them scoring a try denying them the greatest of all upsets. Namibia shouldn't be underestimated, but I feel Samoa should def come up tops there. For me I predict 1 guaranteed win, 2 crunch games against Wales and Fiji to decide who qualifies for the the next round at the world cup. Best I can realistically hope for is 3 outta 4 and a quarter finals berth.