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I agree with you on players backing themselves but accompanied with the Assistant coach fella saying they were going to "smash Sexton" and all that guff it leaves ye open to criticism.So a few points;
I have no problem with Scotland players believing they CAN win trophies; what is the alternative? Not believing they can win it. Having read Hogg's comments they are, to me at least, very mild and don't contain any of the bullish claims that are being suggested above.
He didn't go out and say Scotland will win the World Cup or anything like that. However, a lot of the press (inc for some reason a number of the Irish press contingent) seem to jump on what he said as being arrogant or too optimistic. I say Irish press as I've seen it mostly from the likes of Ferris as mentioned above or the 2nd captains lads. The press now appear to search for a quote about Scotland player showing any sort of confidence and ham it up to play into the narrative of "egg on their face", which is a bit frustrating.
So we can say what we currently do, which as above I think is minor, we can say nothing or we can be downbeat. Now with media commitments as they are I am not sure the middle option is feasible, so we're left with either being the stereotypical "dour jocks" or "arrogant and egg on our face" - it's no win really.
And the list of teams you mention could've been a route for Scotland to the final so it wasn't outside the realms of possibility for Scotland to make progress through the tournament.
It's always highlighted when someone comes out and says something about the other team in addition to it, Hogg and "the English don't respect us" comes to mind too. It's fairly minor, no idea if it's on the players radar at all but from my perception, and it could be completely wrong that Hogg quote is from 2015, Scotland mess it up a bit more than others.