I think a Bok win over Australia is well overdue, especially considering the last time South Africa beat Australia was over 2 years ago! I think you are spot on with regards to the injuries - while both teams have a similarly lengthy injury list, Australia are much more effected by their injuries, as they have nowhere near the depth of South Africa. The fact the game is at altitude is also a good advantage for the Boks - if they don't win this match I think some serious questions need to be asked....
Anyways, the Aussie touring squad is as follows:
Adam Ashley-Cooper (Waratahs), Kurtley Beale (Melbourne Rebels), Digby Ioane (Queensland Reds), Dominic Shipperley (Queensland Reds), Nick Cummins (Western Force), Ben Tapuai (Queensland Reds), Anthony Faingaa (Queensland Reds), Pat McCabe (Brumbies), Berrick Barnes (Waratahs), Mike Harris (Queensland Reds), Nick Phipps (Melbourne Rebels), Brett Sheehan (Western Force), Scott Higginbotham (Queensland Reds), Radike Samo (Queensland Reds), Michael Hooper (Brumbies), Liam Gill (Queensland Reds), Dave Dennis (Waratahs), Rob Simmons (Queensland Reds), Nathan Sharpe (Western Force), Kane Douglas (Waratahs), Sitaleki Timani (Waratahs), Ben Alexander (Brumbies), Paddy Ryan (Waratahs), James Slipper (Queensland Reds), Benn Robinson (Waratahs), Saia Faingaa (Queensland Reds), Stephen Moore (Brumbies), Tatafu Polota Nau (Waratahs).
The biggest question is who will play at 10 in Quade Coopers absence. While the obvious solution would be to put Barnes at 10, and Beale at 15, I just have a suspicion that we may see Beale named at 10, and Barnes staying at 15. I would predict the following 22:
Robinson, Moore, Alexander, Timani, Sharpe, Dennnis, Hooper, Samo, Phipps, Beale, Ioane, McCabe, Ashley-Cooper, Shipperly, Barnes.
Bench: Polota-Nau, Slipper, Douglas/Gill, Higginbotham, Sheehan, A Faingaa, Cummins
However they may well opt for a 5/2 split on the bench, with both Douglas and Gill included, and perhaps Cummins dropping out.
The fact he was injured in week one may have a lot to do with that
Yeah, this Australian side is injury-depleted too. Boks will be hungrier. Home side to win again next weekend.
Well, nothing will change. Everything is still the same. Mark my words. HM is only replacing the reserves, not the subs or first choices. The backline will still contain Morne Steyn, Habana, Francois Steyn, de Villiers, Hougaard and Kirchner
Sadly I think you are 100% right that the starting XV will be pretty similar. Still while its baby steps we are taking at least they are in the right direction. I am tempted to call it fetus steps though.
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On to the 30 man squad;
Mujati is forgotten. I'm assuming they contacted him and he was unavailable because CJ??? Honestly? At least its good that Pat and Coenie are back.
At lock I'd prefer Bresler or Bakkies over Flip but Flip did have a good outing against NZ so I'd be willing to see how it goes. Etzebeth back from suspension it'll be interesting to see who will start between Etzebeth and vd Merwe and Bekker and Kruger (I thought Bekker did well to sort out the line-out last time out after we were struggling early on)
I like FLouw and think he is ahead of Brussow ATM (might be my Stormers bias) so I'm not too fussed over Brussow's exclusion though I think we might shoot ourselves in the foot not at least having him training with the Bokke if FLouw gets injured or we can't get him released at Bath. Other than that I'm happy with Coetzee, Alberts and Vermeulen.
Not even gonna mention the f-up at 10. If I were Lambie I'd go overseas. Just terrible the way he is overlooked. I'd have had him starting after Steyn was flat against England with Goosen coming off the bench as he is currently.
JdV isn't on form and the fact that he is captain makes for some tough decisions which HM has shown he cannot make.
Awesome that Taute is in the squad. Would have been fantastic to have him and Ludik fight it out for the 15 jersey. Hopefully Taute at least gets a chance off the bench to oust Kirchner and more than the 5 minutes Lambie gets, please.
Well well,
Francois Steyn and Johan Goosen might be out for this weekends match. F. Steyn twisted his ankle during training today and was helped off the field while Goosen took a hard hit and is excluded from contact-training. Goosen only trained for 15 minutes. It's likely JdV will start at inside center with de Jongh next to him, Jantjies as fly-half cover for Morne Steyn, Lambie as utility cover (fly-half, inside center and full-back) with Mvovo filling the bench. Things will only be official on wednesday but it doesn't look good for Goosen and F. Steyn.
Good thinking, not letting him get involved in the contact training. It will prepare him for the kicking game where the fly-half is never tackled.
I still feel that Pienaar really isn't an international scrum half. He looks left behind with the pace and kicks far too often for my liking. Reinach, Groom, and van Zyl are all good prospects, they need some time for their provinces.Yes, and Pienaar is a scrum-half who can recycle quickly, take initiative and has great vision but all that was thrown away due to the outdated gameplan of HM. When Goosen came on against the All Blacks, Pienaar played better immediately. I hope Goosen plays the same way against the Aussies on Saturday.
I still feel that Pienaar really isn't an international scrum half. He looks left behind with the pace and kicks far too often for my liking. Reinach, Groom, and van Zyl are all good prospects, they need some time for their provinces.
I still feel that Pienaar really isn't an international scrum half. He looks left behind with the pace and kicks far too often for my liking. Reinach, Groom, and van Zyl are all good prospects, they need some time for their provinces.