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You're severely underrating him here (overrating Maitland and Daly too) and have completely disregarded his aerial, passing and kicking play as well as his attacking intelligence which he's in the top two of any of the wings named and up there amongst the 15's too. He'll play the rest of the season at 15 and if Gatland brings three 15's again they should be 3 of Hogg, Williams, Halfpenny and Zebo unless Payne plays there which he won't. He's also a proven finisher, scoring every 3.75 games in Ireland sides that rarely scored out wide and he averages a try every other game for Munster too.
He wouldn't be in my squad because his defence and maturity need to improve but he's certainly a contender.
He does have a very good passing and kicking game, but those aren't the 2 qualities I look for in a winger, which why I said I don't think he's an out and out finisher and wouldn't consider him as a real wing contender. As for his aerial ability, I don't think it's anything particularly special. He certainly has his moments, but he can be exploited there, like in Watson's try vs Ireland in the RWC Warm Up game. It is probably just the Englishman in me but I rate Daly more than him and personally I'd take Maitland over him at FB in a heart beat. As you said, Zebo's defence is a worry.