Vladimir Putin's war in Ukraine shook the West. Now its leaders are trying to predict his next move.
www.bbc.co.uk
Assuming he is still rational.
I believe he's probably been fed a load of crap from the bottom up, all aimed at avoiding disappointing the bosses. The lies start small at the bottom, but grow a little every step on the way up. "squad equipment is 90% sir, badly need new tyres though.", which becomes "troop equipment at 95% sir, a few machines need new tyres", "battalion equipment at 99% sir, one or two machines need new tyres", "division at 100% sir, no concerns", "army group ready to take over the world sir"...
Now, the lies are laid bare, but only after he's started the snowball rolling from the top of the mountain.
No way to stop it, no way to make it disappear.
I *think*, if he could withdraw and save face, that decision would have been made. But he can't, and won't, he'll now simply refuse to accept this is the end for him in power and tighten his grip up to complete open dictatorship.
Question (1) is, will there be an equivalent of the "20th July Plot".
Question (2) is, how far is Putin prepared to go to save his regime?
Question (3) is, would the army accept a nuclear launch order? [it'd probably start small with tactical warheads, so I'd fear, yes, they would]