After last season, it only seems harder to come up with good picks this year.
You obviously can't discard England, somehow they always seem able to come up with some sort of result when it really matters. They have been supremely unconvincing thus far, but as always there is hope. Several players are putting up their hands for a spot in the team, if anything, the wealth of good players to pick from is their biggest problem. It's preventing a natural selection of the 15 "best" players, who can develop as a team. There is a whole team of fly-halves ALONE, who are in contention for a spot in the team. MJ will have to build a new structure, and this doesn't just happen over night. The best England can hope for is that the process of forging a team goes very smoothly, that they can use a possible win against Italy to build some confidence, and carry this momentum forward in the tournament. They'll need a bit of luck and dog though.
France is AGAIN the mystery guest, they must be a bookies worst nightmare. It's anyone's guess who they'll play as their starting XV. They do seem to have selected a lot of the same players as last year, hopefully they'll be able to build on their performance. It's cliche, but they can shine on one day, and drop every high ball and pass another.
Wales is still the top pick, having clearly made their statement last year, continuing in the vein of form that won the the Grand Slam by beating Australia, and putting up a good fight against NZ and SA.
There are some worries still, Byrne might not make it, and Ryan Jones seems like a totally different player at the moment than he was during the 6 Nations. Hook is also a worry, as I have yet to see him shine this year.
I'm looking to Ireland to suffer the most this year, their pack just doesn't cut the mustard for me. They have the likes of O'Connel, Wallace and Heaslip, but somehow seem to punch below their weight come the 6 nations. They also really need some fresh impulses in their front 5.
Italy, they keep getting a little bit better every year. Their pack is huge, and in Parisse they have the best 8 in the game to lead them. I wonder who they'll play as fly-half this year, with Pez in the squad it's likely the Masi disaster won't be repeated, perhaps he can bring some stability to the side. Roll-on Italy, I'm expecting them to take the scalp of two teams this years, I'm thinking Scotland and Ireland :diablo:
Scotland? They'll do one of two things, they'll shock everyone by beating Italy and England/Ireland, or they'll go home crying with another wooden spoon for their horrible porridge.
So I guess this translates to something like:
1. Wales
2. England/France
4. Italy
5. Ireland
6. Scotland
Roll on 6N, this is gonna be sweet
I'll be in front of the tele with my scrumcap and my Italy shirt on watching every match