So now that the 6 nations are over, what are people's thoughts about this tour. There will be a large amount of Welsh players on the lions tour, I'm not sure exactly who, so for the sake of simplicity I'm going to rule out the entire starting 15 from yesterday, even if that is slightly unrealistic. I am also going to rule Ryan Jones out of the reckoning, a broken shoulder will need a while out, and even if he is technically fit in time, the time off to for pre-season training will do him good.
I'd be looking for Wales to play something like:
Front row: Ryan Bevington, Ken Owens, Scott Andrews.
We won't learn anything about Paul James against Japan, but giving Bevington more game time will be a good thing. Scott Andrews might genuinely have turned a corner with his scrummaging. Not only was he good in the AI's, but he also stood up well against Vunipola yesterday when he came on.
Second row: Luke Charteris, James King.
I'm expecting Charteris to be fit, although I've got no real idea if he will be. Bradley Davies will probably be fit, but this is a chance to get James King into the team. King's best position may be at 6, but with our strength in that area, it might be better to develop him at lock?
Back row: Dan Lydiate, Josh Navidi, Kieran Murphy/Andries Pretorius/Morgan Allen.
I don't think Lydiate has the time to prove himself in time for the Lions, although he's likely to be on stand-by. I think it would be a good way to ease him back into international rugby. I think Warbs and Tips will be with the lions, so this will give another form openside in Navidi a chance. 8 is a problem area. The options aren't great, not sure who to pick here. If Bearman wasn't already 34 I'd have him, but there's little point capping someone at his age.
Halfbacks: Lloyd Williams, James Hook.
Dan Biggar going on the Lions may be a long shot, but he may go, so I'll plan on the assumption he will. James Hook should be given the reigns in that case.
Centres: Gavin Henson/Ashley Beck, Cory Allen.
I desperately want to see both Henson and Beck play in red again, but they could never play together, so it's one or the other at 12. I suppose Henson could play 10, but I maintain 12 is his best position. We lack genuine 13's, but I think Allen has all the attributes to step-up to international rugby. I still can't believe that the Blues have overlooked him this season! Scott Williams is the likely starter, but he flatters to deceive.
Alternatively we could play 10 Henson, 12 Beck, 13 Hook, but that might end in a never ending loop of passing to each other without actually getting anywhere
.
Back three: Eli Walker, Lee Byrne, Hanno Dirksen/Liam Williams.
Is Dirksen likely to be fit? Walker will start, and Byrne offers some solidity and experience to an inexperienced back three.
Bench: Scott Baldwin, Paul James, Samson Lee, Lloyd Peers/Bradley Davies, Aaron Shingler, Rhodri Williams/Tavis Knoyle, Ashley Beck/Gavin Henson, Liam Williams/Richard Fussell.
I'd like to see Baldwin involved, but Matthew Rees is the likely bench option. This will be a good opportunity to cap Lee, who imo is developing very nicely indeed. I'd also like to see Peers, but Bradley is probably too good a quality player to leave out. Aaron Shingler would be unlucky only to make the bench, but if Lydiate is there, that's the way it should be, unless Shingler starts over King in the second row. I'd like to see Rhodri Williams tour, but unless he starts more games for the Scarlets that won't happen either, with Knoyle the likelier. Patchell is maybe unlucky not to make the bench, but Henson offers 10 cover, whilst Beck is too good to miss out. Fussell would my preference as back three cover, but it'll undoubtedly be Liam Williams.