Some reflections after a day to mull it over (but haven't rewatched yet)
Before the 1st test I said that I didn't see how the lions win the game - based on gameplan, points of difference etc. Predictably I was wrong, but that's how I'm feeling again ahead of number 3, unless we really do mix things up. When you look across our performances in the two tests, some individuals have really stood out but without there being any x factor anywhere really, beyond maybe Itoje at times. We've got no BOD-like figure, a Tuilagi, or even a B. Vunipola figure (at his best) to really push the opposition. Don't get me wrong, we've some very good players, but mostly they're here to execute a plan and there aren't a great deal of names I would be backing to dig you out of a big hole where you need something special.
Our attacking stats are really illustrative of what happened and not at all pretty - noone made more than 20 metres and only 3 players more than 10; Mako beat twice as many defenders as the closest back, and we off-loaded the ball just twice in the whole game. That's tough when the boks are a team with whom you want to change the point of attack and utilise footwork.
On defence, it's interesting that we still only missed 2 tackles, but our starting backline turned the ball over 10 times and that's the game right there. Half of those instances being Watson & Hogg.
At this point, our point of difference which we have to use is our squad size, and the form of a number of guys who were unlucky to miss out and have a point to prove. 2 tests of this intensity within 7 days is a lot, and I don't think we have all that many undroppables.
My team:
Mako (Unless Wyn can make it)
George (He's fresh, powerful and not a step-down from LCD)
Furlong (Probably our most important player, even if not his best yesterday)
Itoje (Don't want to burn him out but he's capable of producing those key moments)
AWJ (Eghhh I want Henderson here to be honest - in which Farrell or Biggar to captain. But AWJ+Itoje have the partnership going and AWJs defensive shift is easy to overlook to be fair - he made the most tackles on the whole pitch yesterday, missing none)
Beirne (unlucky to not have started a test yet,)
Watson (see above)
Faletau (Tough on Conan who has been strong, but Toby is fresh and that footwork is a point of difference)
Davies (Possibly the most talented 9 in the squad)
Biggar (He's in form and playing well - it's not his fault the gameplan is to kick kick kick, although he's not a natural attacking 10 anyway)
Farrell (12 feels like his best position these days and I think two playmakers is our best shot at a win now)
Henshaw (The swapping around is tough on Harris who had a great game, but Henshaw has been our most consistent back I think, even if not at his very best)
Adams (The form winger, seriously unlucky thus far)
Rees Zammit (Give youth a chance!)
Williams (Probably the most likely player to break open the game in the whole touring party. Has to start regardless of Hoggs' citing)
Sutherland
Sinkler
LCD
Henderson
Curry
Murray
Smith
Daly
I'm not precious about any of this, probably way off in some spots. I'm not convinced by the back-row to be honest.