Question: Were any of those games played in the Southern Hemisphere? No... All 3 matches in which Wales was close to beating us, were played in Cardiff. This is different.
2008 was in SA. 20-15. It has to be noted though that SA scored the only 2 tries in that match. Wales were grand Slam champions at the time. It was the first game under a new coach; PdV. Team line-up: 1 Beast, 2 Bismarck, 3 Smit!, 4 Botha, 5 Matfield, 6 Burger, 7 Smith, 8 Spies, 9 Du Preez, 10 Pienaar!, 11 Habana, 12 De Villiers, 13 Jacobs!, 14 Pietersen, 15 Jantjes!
Never thought this would happen but I'm supporting wales in this game if only because I think some SH fans are really underestimating Wales and the other NH teams. That said, i don't know where this talk of form has come from for either side. The Argentina match, for example, but for a few moments of genius from north and some great skill by Alun-Wyn, Wales would have been going into the half time break disappointed with their performance, and anything could have happened thereafter. In the second England game, wales defended well but were ultimately saved by how **** england's backs were. This said, Wales still have the potential to beat most sides, its just that I dont think that is evidenced by recent form, more just their inherent squad strength.
likewise with SA, a few weeks ago people were talking about how ppoor they were, virtually down and out, and now after a win against New Zealand (impressive I know, but wasn't it a NZ 2nd team?), people say their back on form. What rubbish.
Personally I think we know very little about the two sides going into this game.
Ah, poo. A neutral talking some sense LOL.
Wales are the underdogs. Their record at the RWC and against SA make this clear. SA has its top team back together (with the exception of Juan Smith) for the first time in 18 months and the curve is upwards after 2 gamse though we need to work on
- first time tackling
- tactical kicking from FdP has been sub standard
- supporting play ITO keeping the ball alive/offloading/looking to link up
- handling in general has been poor; too many chances one begging from unforced knock-ons
- forwards need to stay out of the backline when there are options wide
So, yeah there is a lot of improvement to be done.
Also, while I might be underestimating Wales I have a lot of respect for France and see them as the dark horse to win the tournament.