btw, that Boks scrum separating the French scrum in two was such a strange sight. I'd like to watch this again, not to downplay the very good Boks scrum tonight, but wtf was that ?...what happened there ?...
Statistically for the scrums, France on own feed won 7/9 (78%) vs for South Africa 3/5 (60%) so France still got a good edge. But it's strange, we started with the Boks back-pedalling noticeably. Then very stable. Shortly after collapsing. Then infringements. Then South Africa got a clear advantage on like 3 scrums, including that separation thing..
Anyways: France got exposed tonight. Our scrum isn't indestructible, even if it hasn't been put to fault overall in a game.
France out played the line-outs, interestingly:
11won, 2 lost (85%) vs 12won, 4lost (75%).
Rucks are very similar, we both conceded 16 turnovers each, and both went 3 from 5 on mauls. So no, South Africa didn't have the advantage at the breakdown either stat-wise.
But now, the interesting and predictable stats ridiculously in favor of France, the side that still lost this match. The attack stats (order: France then South Africa):
- Possession: 57% vs 43%
- Passes: 125 vs 92
- Runs: 91 vs 75
- Meters with ball in hand: 350 vs 169
- Defenders beaten: 18 vs 5
- Offloads: 11 vs 1
- Tackling success rate: 94% vs 84%
Some of those are ridiculously one-sided, and yet France lose at home by 9 points. Gotta gotta gotta convert those opportunities ! And South Africa managed to, after they missed a tackle, come back and stop a play. But really France just fkd up too many times. Just one try for France, despite some excellent sequences. Too many butchered good balls.
Also, France conceded 12 to 10 penalties. Two more.
Surely I'm not the only one asking: how does South Africa play such a simple style, and still win a lot, and why don't we all imitate or at least emulate some of it since it's so easy ? I like pretty attacking Rugby and I like our backs a lot atm and they're super technical and everything, but I'd trade those 350m for the 169m if a win's at the end of it.
Sooner or later, France must develop that attack. Today was horrible in parts, very good in parts, but overall a confirmation that we're not where we should be still. Two new articles appeared on a french website, the ***les read:
"Saint-André says 'we're not at the Blacks' or Boks' level'" and "Les Bleus' worst enemies ? themselves".
Some interesting reading but not really surprising; the stats in relation to the result. These stats are for cursory browsing only and the main point of influence is; Territory 1st half SA 73%, France 27%. The reason being when the pressure tells wee are in position to score points which is what wins the games. Territory alone won't be enough of course and you won't get or retain territory without; good kicking and applying ample pressure. This is where SA won; better positional kicking and more robust at applying pressure through kick chases and being more physical at the contact point.
Look at the games where NZ won SA;
Kick/pass/run for NZ vs SA; 32/110/88 vs 26/108/89, so that means NZ kicked nearly 20% more, but passed and ran only about 1% more than SA. NZ had the territory advantage 56% over 44%. So that tells you NZ kicked more effectively, had the territory advantage and thus were in better position to capatilize on opportunities.
In the 2nd game:
Again kicks/passes/runs
NZ 35/139/89 vs SA 20/163/132 (SA also made half again the amount of meters ball in hand NZ did). This was a bit of a strange game though so I don't really want to use it as an example but if you look at those stats, you'll see it comes down to the better kicking team as defences are just too well organized these days, at least at the top end.
So the winning formula is easy even if the execution gets tricky.
Even then you need to qualify some of those stats above and I don't mean to take anything away from France- I just think one need to put stats into perspective; two scrums SA lost was through the fault of the scrummie where Pienaar got blown up for incorrect feed (Barnes just wanting to stamp his authority as it wasn't more skew than half the other feeds throughout the game) and an early feed at the end. The one where Coenie was blown up for collapsing was debatable at best.
In the line-out Bismarck continued with his overthrows from last week. You can say the pressure of the game got to Bismarck or he was just continuing in the way he ended last week; without rhythm but that is something that isn't.. typical; we didn't lose line-out like we did against NZ; through pressure applied by the opposition locks.
Defenders beaten is one that irritates me and France certainly were better in that aspect on a man-on-man level apart from the work of our 'enforcers' where the quality of the tackle was better, actually stopping opposition momentum in it's tracks. Modern defences also have layers and redundancy so beating a defender or even making a clean break is not enough in itself; you have to beat the defensive system not the 1st tackler these days.
Watched the game again last night.
I was very chuffed with Jaque Fourie's defensive organisation. I wish all the players could communicate like him. Did you see at one stage when France was on the counter attack, how he directed Habana to go for the outside man as he got him covered. That was just great to watch.
And I think this acid test for Coenie was passed with flying colours. We were worried for nothing...
The scrum doing so well was the highlight for me for this test. Tight head was a perceived problem area, at least in my eyes, as we've been dependant on Jannie for so long now and with him so off form in general play ATM, well.. but Coenie and earlier Malherbe have shown they are up for it in the scrum. Forestier was scrumming in on Coenie and putting him and Bismarck under a lot of pressure but boy he held his own and it backfired bigtime when the French scrum tore itself in two with both sides scrumming in and us, keeping shape, just driving through the middle. How many sides would rather have buckled under that pressure! So we have Mtawarira, Steenkamp at loose head, Jannie if he can recover some form along with Coenie, Malherbe and Adriaanse at tight head, Coenie can cover the loose as well. And then there is Marcel van der Merwe who'll have his break out year next year.. looking good in the porps actually even if our tight heads beyond Du Plessis don't have the caps to their names yet.
Some other things this match showed me is that Pienaar is just not a Bok 9. Jano Vermaak and Piet van Zyl should have had chances IMO. Pienaar may well perform for Ulster but, damn, I can't remember a good game at 9 for the Bokke. Le Roux has the 15 jersey nailed! Lambie is just back-up and I suspect will fall behind Goosen at 10 and Taute at 15 throughout next year. It's gonna be hard for anyone to break into the starting loose trio. Louw needs to realize away from home we are gonna get sent off for the slightest bit of ****le so he needs to keep a calm head.
Looking good but a lot of room for improvement and development still, which is a good thing.
EDIT: What I like is that under HM we are coming back to what we know and what works for us; the rugby that we were all taught and played in school and know by heart and here with the Bokke just finding it's ultimate expression with the players most able to execute it correctly; the type of game and philosophy of rugby that suits our bodies and minds both and that we are as familiar and intimate with as with our lovers (if I can go that far LOL and if you'll excuse my abuse of the semicolon).
Sa are already very good.Your only hurdle is too overcome the Ab's who you have not beaten in two years. Which is an unusual statistic.There is in my opinion very little difference between Sa and the all blacks.But there is a big difference between the top two and the rest.With England and Wales being the closest.I love the way you never doubt your abilities.
We are very restless and will be counting the days for another chance to match ourselves against the best. I expect the team more so than the fans.