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Yes. They might win by that or more but they've increased the chance of losing.
You can be sure
Experimenting devalues the tournament. It sends out a bad signal that the tournament is just a warm up contest.
NZ are the only team who have earned the right to heavily rotate their squad. SA and Argentina hasn't won the competition for a long time so it looks bad when they do it.
Nobody cares about a 3-match RC in a world cup year. Look at the history. Teams use this tournament in WC years to get their teams ready for the World Cup.