France, because they will meet England in the QF and just can't see them winning.
On the paper France has a stronger team.
I don't know if its that simple but I agree France are at least as good as England, I'm hoping that in beating Ireland we haven't completely broken the rock-paper-scissors model, we still need it!
Can see SA not making the Semis - I think they'll struggle in the groups vs Wales and Samoa, and then they have either Australia or Ireland I think - Australia could easily beat them, and Ireland have a fair chance too
No, I think unfortunately South Africa will at least make semis, which is annoying, because it will keep a certain clown in the job, he's so lucky he's got players like Matfield and du Preez to save him, otherwise he would be regarded on a par or below the Springbok class of 2002/03 which lost 53-3 to England and was pants in the RWC 03
NZ should at worst make the semi's by either topping the pool and beating Argentina or if they came second I'd say they will win the tournament because they would not dare lose twice. Definatly one of England or France will go in the quarters and I have a feelIng Ireland could beat either Australia or more likly SA if they turn up to this RWC so I think NZ are the only ones who will definatly make the semis.
Looking at the Quarter Finals... France or England will fall.
New Zealand will play Argentina
Australia will play Wales/Fiji
South Africa will play Ireland