To me it feels like the season is now entering a distinct 2nd phase. Probably that is due to our schedule where we are not only travelling but we are facing a much sterner roster of opposing teams.
R12 – Sunday, January 8
Glasgow Warriors v Stormers
R13 – Friday, January 27
Ulster v Stormers
R1 – Friday,February 3
Sharks v Stormers
R14 – Saturday, February 18
Bulls v Stormers
R15 – Saturday, March 4
Stormers v Sharks
R16 – Friday, March 24
Leinster v Stormers
R17 – Saturday, April 15
Stormers v Munster
R18 – Friday, April 21
Stormers v Benetton
8 log points (and a game in hand over a couple) ahead I can see us hosting a QF at least and at home we should be able to get into a SF, probably even a home semi and from there anything can happen. So I guess I was wrong feeling we fluked last season and are actually a ~6 on the log side (though if the wheels come off in the latter half we might well be).
We've not had the good run on the injury front we had last season but I feel it has been well managed. We aren't sending a full team to Europe for Glasgow and Ulster but I feel the drop off isn't significant. My expectation is 1 win, 1 narrow loss, same with our two games vs the Sharks. I expect us to take all our remaining home games, possibly the game vs the Bulls but I can't see us beating Leinster at home specifically because I can't see us sending anything other than a sacrificial lamb to Dublin.
I felt start of the season we need to be in a dominant position at this point and TBH if you offered me the log as is I'd have taken it. We had a poor tour in Wales and Leinster has been absolutely dominant but we are hitting form at the right time and fair play to Leinster for being the force it is- the rest of the teams can only learn from them.
My only gripe would be with the scheduling. Two games abroad, 1 back in SA and then back up North for a 1 off vs Leinster? Crazy! It would acyually be insane to send a full strength side there. We also saw them send a B side down last season- and that was for a proper tour. Crazy to think the top 2 sides over these two seasons han't actually really faced each other yet and probably won't (assuming we are sending a B team ourselves) unless we meet in a final. We really need a quality lock though. Looking at the Leinster roster a guy like Jason Jenkins is exactly what we need with Dawid Meihuizen's forced early retirement before even having his break out season.