What are Portugal's chances of registering a 1st ever win and who against
Portugal had what I consider a slightly poor last 18 months in my opinion, but they looked good in the warmups (although I did not see as much of them as I would like). Everything depends on their forwards not losing too badly, as their backs are great. I would say:
vs Georgia - 25% chance of victory, especially if the Georgian lineout and scrum continues to struggle. Portugal got a draw recently in Tblisi.
vs Fiji - 15% chance. Fiji much improved generally and at set piece. They might not be able to fully dominate Portugal up front, which might give Portugal some hope (they do well against sides like Japan who cannot dominate with their forwards)
vs Wales - 5% chance. Wales should be coached well enough to prevent Portugal getting possession in dangerous positions. They also have a lot of pace on the wings which takes away one of the biggest Portguese threats
vs Australia - 5% chance. Portugal were within 6 points of an Australia 'A' side with 2 mins to go a couple of weeks ago. That Australian side had more caps / experience than the team they will play here. Unfortunately it means Australia know all about how Portugal play and that they are dangerous. So Australia will not be complacent. This could have potentially been a huge upset in the making if Australia were complacent.
All in all, Portugal have a very difficult group with no weak teams. But I think they will score a try in every match and could give a couple of scares to other teams, especially if the others rest star players against them. It all depends on whether their pack can limit the amount of penalties they concede.