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In the second division, things are going to be difficult to predict this season. Let me start by writing that I don't think Albi will make a quick return. Saint-Etienne will find their way back down to Fédérale 1 the same way Lannemezan did last season. Also, this time around Aix-en-Provence will not be spared unless there is another financial loop hole.
Promotion candidates are strong once again. I think Oyonnax will follow La Rochelle and finally earn their way to a place in the Top 14. This is a club that could stick around for some time and even develop into something bigger. I think that Pau will finally find some stability and claw their way back to the Top 14, but it will be difficult. I don't they will will finish second, but rather anywhere from third to fifth. Lyon could surprise me and finish on top, but I think they'll have to wait yet another season.
Expect Carcassonne to quickly establish themselves well as a professional rugby club. It was no surprise despite there being 48 other clubs in Fédérale 1 that last season they easily won and gained promotion to Pro D2. It was only a matter of time as the club had a heavy make over during the past couple of seasons in the lower divisions. A taste of Top 14 with moderate success shouldn't be too far off in the coming years.
Here are my predictions:
Pro D2
01. Oyonnax (c)
02. Lyon
03. Pau (p)
04. Albi
05. Aurillac
06. Tarbes
07. Narbonne
08. Carcassonne
09. Colomiers
10. Grenoble
11. Bordeaux-Bègles
12. Mont-de-Marsan
13. Auxh
14. Dax
15. Aix-en-Provence
16. Saint-Etienne
Fédérale 1 can be difficult to predict since there are so many clubs. The most important thing is to familiarize yourself with as many as you can. Some of them may ring a bell, like Montauban and Bourg-en-Bresse, as well as former powerhouse Béziers.
Last season Carcassonne had no issue cleaning house and winning the Jean-Prat. Saint-Etienne was a huge surprise and honestly off of just about everyone's radar.
There is a new format this season where there are now four groups instead of six. There are also 49 clubs instead of 48 for this season. Lille MRC was originally relegated last season, but DNACG moved them back up. The top four clubs from each group move on the next round to compete for the Jean-Prat, while the bottom three (four in group 4) are automatically relegated to the fourth tier in French rugby union.
Group 1 is fairly weak. Bourg-en-Bresse is the only promotion candidate. I'd like to make a note of Nevers as the club was recently promoted and I expect them to do fairly well from the start. Watch out for them in a few years.
Group 2 has clubs like Béziers and Valence d'Agen. Both should put up a promotion fight, but I doubt either one will succeed. Montauban is also in this group, but after their financial problems their make up has taken a 180. La Seyne could make a push for promotion as well. They're one of my dark horses.
Group 3 contains professional clubs Limoges and Périgueux. Limoges was relegated from Pro D2 a few seasons ago and have struggled to find their way back. They've gone through a make over and look more than ready to find their way back and stay there. Périgueux continues to improve every season and could surprise.
Group 4 has a former powerhouse in Lourdes and many promotion candidates. Tyrosse is a top pick here. The club is a from a town that has a smaller population than their stadium contains seats and yet they have tasted the professional leagues only a few years ago. They remain strong and have some surprisingly skilled unknowns. Cahors could also make a push and I never like to leave out Lourdes even though they have stumbled time and time again to return to prominence. Lannemezan could find their way back to Pro D2, but this group will prove difficult.
Here are my top five clubs in Fédérale 1:
01. Limoges
02. Lannemezan
03. Bourg-en-Bresse
04. Tyrosse
05. Périgueux
Promotion candidates are strong once again. I think Oyonnax will follow La Rochelle and finally earn their way to a place in the Top 14. This is a club that could stick around for some time and even develop into something bigger. I think that Pau will finally find some stability and claw their way back to the Top 14, but it will be difficult. I don't they will will finish second, but rather anywhere from third to fifth. Lyon could surprise me and finish on top, but I think they'll have to wait yet another season.
Expect Carcassonne to quickly establish themselves well as a professional rugby club. It was no surprise despite there being 48 other clubs in Fédérale 1 that last season they easily won and gained promotion to Pro D2. It was only a matter of time as the club had a heavy make over during the past couple of seasons in the lower divisions. A taste of Top 14 with moderate success shouldn't be too far off in the coming years.
Here are my predictions:
Pro D2
01. Oyonnax (c)
02. Lyon
03. Pau (p)
04. Albi
05. Aurillac
06. Tarbes
07. Narbonne
08. Carcassonne
09. Colomiers
10. Grenoble
11. Bordeaux-Bègles
12. Mont-de-Marsan
13. Auxh
14. Dax
15. Aix-en-Provence
16. Saint-Etienne
Fédérale 1 can be difficult to predict since there are so many clubs. The most important thing is to familiarize yourself with as many as you can. Some of them may ring a bell, like Montauban and Bourg-en-Bresse, as well as former powerhouse Béziers.
Last season Carcassonne had no issue cleaning house and winning the Jean-Prat. Saint-Etienne was a huge surprise and honestly off of just about everyone's radar.
There is a new format this season where there are now four groups instead of six. There are also 49 clubs instead of 48 for this season. Lille MRC was originally relegated last season, but DNACG moved them back up. The top four clubs from each group move on the next round to compete for the Jean-Prat, while the bottom three (four in group 4) are automatically relegated to the fourth tier in French rugby union.
Group 1 is fairly weak. Bourg-en-Bresse is the only promotion candidate. I'd like to make a note of Nevers as the club was recently promoted and I expect them to do fairly well from the start. Watch out for them in a few years.
Group 2 has clubs like Béziers and Valence d'Agen. Both should put up a promotion fight, but I doubt either one will succeed. Montauban is also in this group, but after their financial problems their make up has taken a 180. La Seyne could make a push for promotion as well. They're one of my dark horses.
Group 3 contains professional clubs Limoges and Périgueux. Limoges was relegated from Pro D2 a few seasons ago and have struggled to find their way back. They've gone through a make over and look more than ready to find their way back and stay there. Périgueux continues to improve every season and could surprise.
Group 4 has a former powerhouse in Lourdes and many promotion candidates. Tyrosse is a top pick here. The club is a from a town that has a smaller population than their stadium contains seats and yet they have tasted the professional leagues only a few years ago. They remain strong and have some surprisingly skilled unknowns. Cahors could also make a push and I never like to leave out Lourdes even though they have stumbled time and time again to return to prominence. Lannemezan could find their way back to Pro D2, but this group will prove difficult.
Here are my top five clubs in Fédérale 1:
01. Limoges
02. Lannemezan
03. Bourg-en-Bresse
04. Tyrosse
05. Périgueux