Seems that after the SOB announcement there's a bit of doom and gloom going around again in regards to Chiefs so I thought I'd contextualise where we're at right now by looking at the team that just played it's way into a Champions Cup semi-final, and how many of those players are sticking around next year.
Bold players staying.
Italicised players leaving.
1. Sio
2. Frost
3. Street
4. Gray
5. Jenkins
6. Kirsten - being replaced by Roots, who I don't see as a downgrade but isn't an obvious upgrade either.
7. Tshiunza
8. Simmonds - Vermeulen to return from injury. Not necessarily a downgrade - there are definitely facets of the game in which he's significantly better - but he is a very different style of player.
9. Becconsall
10. Simmonds - this is probably the only major downgrade we'll see next season. Skinner has looked fine when he's played and WHW has a lot of potential but I don't expect either to be performing to Simmonds' level next season.
11. Woodburn
12. O'Brien - being replaced by Hawkins which I think most would agree is a major upgrade.
13. Slade
14. Nowell - no replacement signed as of yet but with Nowell undoubtedly on the decline and youngsters like Hodge and Feyi-Waboso on the rise I have no concerns here. Expect that Kata could also be used here to fill the Nowell role.
15. Wyatt
So that's 5 of 15 leaving. Of the replacements I'd say that:
1 is a significant upgrade (Hawkins for SOB).
2 are pretty lateral changes (Roots for Kirsten, Vermeulen for Simmonds).
1 is currently a downgrade but I expect the replacements to overtake him reasonably soon anyway (Hodge/Feyi-Waboso for Nowell).
1 is a pretty noticeable downgrade (Skinner/WHW for Simmonds).
As a fully fit 23 next season we're looking at:
1. Sio
2. Frost
3. Schickerling
4. Gray
5. Jenkins
6. Roots
7. Tshiunza
8. Vermeulen
9. S. Maunder
10. Skinner
11. Woodburn
12. Hawkins
13. Slade
14. Wyatt
15. Hodge
16. Yeandle/Innard
17. Hepburn/Abuladze
18. Street/Iosefa-Scott
19. Williams/Dunne
20. Capstick/Davis
21. J. Maunder/Townsend/Becconsall/Cairns
22. WHW
23. Devoto/O'Loughlin/Kata/Feyi-Waboso
For a team that will be in its first year of a rebuild, I'd say that's pretty damn good.