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Tindall looks a bit out of his depth alongside the calibre of players called up for this.
This could be a tricky opener for the Lions. They have been rusty in their opening fixture last few tours (notably drawing to a weakened Argentina side in 2005), and now they're up against a team with players like Parisse, Fotuali'i, Evans and Fourie all of whom will be better than whoever the Lions have as their opposite numbers. That 8-9-10 trio the Baabaas have got would walk into the Lions side for sure.
I'd have Sexton and Evans roughly on a par, but you're spot on on the other two.
As for it being a tricky opener, well that goes without saying. The Lions usually play poorly on their first game. Lack of cohesiveness, all that jazz. The thing about playing a barbarians side is that they should be suffering from the exact same problems.
Should be a fascinating tie.