Who are Bath's likely leavers?
We don't know contract lengths, and suspect that not all renewals get announced, so the following is mostly guess work.
LHP Juan Schoeman / Arthur Cordwell - neither have been particularly impressive, but also neither are terrible. neither have signed a contract recently. Might lose one, might keep both. AC is 24.
HK Faiva may or may not be on a part-year deal, so leaving this summer.
THP Johannes Jonker is already confirmed out, Kieren Verden - as with AC above, with the exception that there's young depth behind him, and 2 solidly ahead. KV is 24.
LK Elliott Stooke / GJ Van Velze / Quinn Roux / Josh McNally. We've 4 locks confirmed for next year, we're probably looking to keep one of these 4. Rumours of Stooke going to Newcastle (having been offered an extension at Bath, but... money and a starting shirt). I would expect us to (try to) keep one of GJVV or Roux. TBH, I wouldn't even be all that surprised if we lost all 4.
BR JJ Tonks and Chris Cloete are as good as gone. Nahum Merigan has got to be in danger of being let go, depending on when his contract ends.
SH Tom Carr-Smith doesn't seem to be trusted, and the "signing" of Le Roux indicates that that's not about to change. Don't know when his contract ends, and at 21 it would be harsh to write him off.
FH George Worboys I can't see staying beyond his current contract, he's young and home grown, but he's already behind 2 younger home-grown options, and Linegar at U18 level is likely to overtake him pretty soon.
CE Max Wright is, quite honestly, lucky to still be with us - contract has been up for renewal as exactly the right times to stay on.
WG Ruiaridh McConnochie and Gabe Goss are both in danger, might be kept depending on incomers and wages.
FB Owen already left (we think), Gallagher already confirmed off.
U18s in the academy look like being culled ruthlessly, with only Connor Treacey graduating from the senior U18 section (Linegar's still got a year at that level, don't worry).
Also worth remembering, that Bath's huge squad includes several short term signings and the academy. The academy is the bit that's huge as we rebuilt things from the ground up starting 4 years ago, and essentially kept everyone we could.
As I count it, the senior squad is 48 players, including Faiva, Stooke, Du Plessis, Le Roux, Grace and Owen all signed mid-season (and Owen at least, having already left - we think). Getting that down to the proposed 35+12 is... not going to be tricky, despite all the "But Bath have more than 70 players in their squad".
