Yeah people will point to Ryan being better in the lineout, and rightly so, but where Henderson completely fails for me is in his workrate. He just doesn't do hitting rucks with frequency and as such he really has no place starting in a Joe Schmidt (20+ phase the norm) team. Ryan and Toner will work like dogs ruck to ruck and thats what we need from the second rows. Leave the fancy to the shorter lads!
Elsewhere, no surprises. Stander, O'Brien, Heaslip are gonna start every game if fit. I imagine only O'Mahony has a shot at displacing them and even thats remote.
Apparently 50/30 mins, 30/50 mins for the looseheads was always the plan. Hope Healy does well. I think he's VERY slowly getting better with games. I haven't given up believing he can get back to the player he was.
Inaccurate supposition based of s.f.a. mostly.
Rucking stats v. Scotland.
Total
50 Devin Toner (17 first, 23 second, 9 third, 1 defensive)
41 Sean O'Brien (18 first, 6 second, 9 third, 1 fourth, 7 defensive)
34 Tadhg Furlong (12 first, 14 second, 5 third, 3 fourth)
34 Iain Henderson (13 first, 9 second, 11 third, 1 fourth)
33 Jack McGrath (6 first, 15 second, 5 third, 5 fourth, 2 defensive)
31 Jamie Heaslip (14 first, 7 second, 4 third, 1 fourth, 5 defensive)
30 CJ Stander (10 first, 9 second, 4 third, 2 fourth, 5 defensive)
30 Rory Best (13 first, 16 second, 1 third)
26 Garry Ringrose (15 first, 5 second, 5 third, 1 defensive)
18 Robbie Henshaw (3 first, 10 second, 1 third, 4 defensive)
13 Keith Earls (5 first, 1 second, 4 third, 3 defensive)
13 Rob Kearney (3 first, 4 second, 4 third, 1 fourth, 1 defensive)
13 Simon Zebo (9 first, 2 second, 1 third, 1 defensive)
12 Cian Healy (3 first, 2 second, 1 third, 4 fourth, 2 defensive)
12 Ultan Dillane (3 first, 4 second, 3 third, 2 defensive)
12 Paddy Jackson (5 first, 5 second, 1 third, 1 fourth)
6 Josh van der Flier (2 second, 2 third, 2 defensive)
5 John Ryan (2 first, 3 second)
4 Tommy Bowe (1 first, 2 second, 1 third)
4 Conor Murray (3 first, 1 second)
First arrival
18 Sean O'Brien (9 effective, 7 guard, 1 present, 1 ineffective)
17 Devin Toner (9 effective, 4 guard, 2 present, 2 ineffective)