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Really I think it'll come down to whoever is playing fullback for the provinces next season, of those whoever is in best form will probably get a shot for the Six Nations.I get what you're saying and can understand it. And Larmour hasn't been shamed at 15 but even last week against us his positional sense was poor at times. And that isn't a hammering. Because the positional sense is only picked up really by playing there consistently.
Same goes for Joey and look even alot say Conway should be 15 also. But again playing on the wing and at 15 are massively different. Haley is probably the best option from a positional sense. And that is due to he has played 15 exclusively.
The dark horse for me is Stockdale as he looked to have huge potential there.
Like for Leinster 90% chance that we'll have Larmour playing there and that can only help him there, like I say I prefer him at 14 but if Kearney does leave then Lowe-Larmour-Byrne will be our best back three next season. Playing there consistently could only help his positioning and if he's decent there Farrell will probably back him as he's actually got the most experience there internationally. At Munster Conway could be an option but he'd need to convince Van Graan to play him there instead of Haley which doesn't seem likely. I'd love to see Carbery get a shot but so long as they're committed to him at 10 then there isn't a hope. At Ulster Ludik is the starting 15 who obviously isn't a option but if Addison comes back strongly then he could he considered there. Lowry got a lot of time there this season and showed a lot of promise, he'll be an option out there but still a long way to come as Glasgow showed. And as you say Stockdale is option if they keep playing him there, he's got the skills and he could he absolutely devastating from fullback. I'd prefer his finishing on the wing though, I know he had the drop against us, but as someone who was at that game he was absolutely terrifying and to be honest I can't remember being at a game where an opposition player scared me that much every time he got the ball in ages.
You're 100% right when you say positioning is a worry for more or less all the options and whoever does replace him should play there regularly next year.