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The A games with Shaggy – Canada V France, Sunday 18th September, Mclean Park, Napier
Wow!, it's nearly time for game five in pool A already, and Canada move from the far north of New Zealand, to the central east coast of the north island where the city of Napier will host their match against France. Canada have barely enough time to crouch, touch, and pause, before they engage, let alone had time for the win against Tonga to sink in, or for their key players to recover before they have to take the field again.
Canadian coach, Kieran Crowley doesn't seem that happy about this in this article (http://www.montrealgazette.com/sport...328/story.html ) in the Montreal gazette. He does point out that this is an issue that all of the tier two nations have to face in this tournanment, and they certainly got the benefit of it when they faced the Tongans. The same article reports that according to some of the Canadian players, Canada are targeting this game for a win, including TRF favourite, Ed Fairhurst, who says they are aiming for a quarter final spot. This is quite a surprise to me, as an earlier video article I saw, featuring Kieran Crowley stated that they are aiming for a top three finish to allow automatic qualification into the next tournament.
I thought that resting the players may have been a priority for this match, although they do have time between this match and the next to do this. If the quarter final spot is the aim though, this is great news for the current tournament, as it will probably mean that most of the team that played against Tonga will back up and play the French - what could have been an easy win for the french, will now be, at the very least, a competitive match.
The Tongan coach, Isitolo Maka, states in the Montreal Gazette article, that he doesn't rate the Canadian team's chances of victory very highly, as he believes that the french will exploit Canadian defensive weaknesses.
If I can put my Canadian supporters hat on for a moment, sadly, I have to agree with his rating of Canada's chances, but more as a consequence of the short turn around between matches, fatigue factors, and injury concerns, rather than defensive weaknesses.
A fully fit Canadian team, including injured open side flanker, Chauncey O' Toole, to compliment Adam Kleeberger, and Aaron Carpenter in the loose, and a smart use of the substitution bench to provide a much needed break for the hard working tight forwards, such as Jebb Sinclair and Jamie Cudmore, are a must if Canada is to have any possibility of winning this match. Maybe a change in the centres, with a new player in the number 12 jersey, to compliment the dangerous DTH van der Merwe, might also be an astute change.
The French named their side very early for this match, and coach Marc Lievremont making sweeping changes to the side that won against Japan. He has dropped captain Thierry Dusautoir from the match day 22, and retained only four players from that match – winger, Vincent Clerc, centre, Aurelien Rougerie, who moves to the left wing and takes over the captaincy, fly half, Francois Trinh-Duc, and long serving hooker William Servat.
You can see the full match day 22 here in this UK reuters article http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/09/13/rugby-world-france-idUKL3E7KC41T20110913
While the French have named by no means, a weak side, and they have a strong bench, featuring the likes of Maxim Meddard, Dimitri Yachvili, and Imanol Harinordoquy, in my opinion, this is definitely a weaker side than the one that faced Japan, and may also play a significant roll in the closeness of this match.
My prediction is that Canada will fight the good fight, but will probably wilt late in the match, and that a win for them will be a bridge too far.
Blog By Shaggy