The truth is right, I don't know if you've already seen these scenarios, the only way the bulls can get in the back door is by brumbies/hurricanes losing, :
The road to the play-offs
Sunday April 30 2006
Four more fall by the wayside
There are just two rounds remaining in the regular season of the inaugural Super 14 competition and now just eight teams remain in the running for a place in the play-offs - albeit some with such mathematically remote chances that it would require a bizarre set of results for them to make it.
And even more outlandish is the fact that the Crusaders, who two weeks ago were regarded as certainties for a place in the play-offs, have still not secured enough points - having played to a draw against the Force and lost to the Stormers, collecting just two points from their last two matches. With games against the Bulls and Brumbies remaining they are no longer certainties.
Unlike last week, six teams are now out of the running - with the Stormers (despite their brilliant win over the Crusaders), Highlanders, Cheetahs and Reds joining the Cats and Force as also-rans.
What must be heartbreaking for a team like the Stormers is that they did what they needed to - collect a full five points against the Crusaders - but with the Hurricanes and Brumbies both winning they have run out of games to make up the difference.
The irony is that the Chiefs, who lost to the Hurricanes and failed to collect a single point, are one of those with a mathematically remote chance of sneaking in. The Blues' fortuitous one-point win in Bloemfontein over the Cheetahs also kept their hopes alive.
The Sharks, another team who lost, stayed in the hunt thanks to the two bonus points they collected. But they require either the Brumbies or Hurricanes to lose both their remaining matches and then the Sharks must win by considerable margins against the Stormers and Force.
The Bulls kept their hopes alive by taking five points against the Sharks, but they still require the Hurricanes and/or Brumbies to lose in the remaining weeks if they want to sneak in the back door. They have matches against the Crusaders and Stormers coming up.
We set out below all the possible scenarios that the next two weeks could produce, but please bear in mind that in some cases where we list the 'best possible finish' it will require a number of results going in favour of that team.
Here goes - team by team:
Waratahs:
Current position: 1st
Best possible finish: 1st
Worst possible finish: 5th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Chiefs, away
13 May: v Hurricanes, home
Crusaders:
Current position: 2nd
Best possible finish: 1st
Worst possible finish: 5th
Remaining fixtures:
5 May: v Bulls, away
12 May: v Brumbies, home
Hurricanes:
Current position: 3rd
Best possible finish: 1st
Worst possible finish: 6th
Remaining:
5 May: v Reds, home
13 May: v Waratahs, away
Brumbies:
Current position: 4th
Best possible finish: 1st
Worst possible finish: 8th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Highlanders, home
12 May: v Crusaders, away
Bulls:
Current position: 5th
Best possible finish: 1st
Worst possible finish: 8th
Remaining fixtures:
5 May: v Crusaders, home
13 May: v Stormers, away
Sharks:
Current position: 6th
Best possible finish: 3rd
Worst possible finish: 11th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Stormers, home
12 May: v Force, home
Chiefs:
Current position: 7th
Best possible finish: 4th
Worst possible finish: 12th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Waratahs, home
13 May: v Blues, away
Blues:
Current position: 8th
Best possible finish: 4th
Worst possible finish: 12th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Cats, away
13 May: v Chiefs, home
Stormers:
Current position: 9th
Best possible finish: 6th
Worst possible finish: 12th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Sharks, away
13 May: v Bulls, home
Highlanders:
Current position: 10th
Best possible finish: 6th
Worst possible finish: 12th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Brumbies, away
12 May: v Reds, away
Cheetahs:
Current position: 11th
Best possible finish: 6th
Worst possible finish: 12th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Force, home
13 May: v Cats, home
Reds:
Current position: 12th
Best possible finish: 7th
Worst possible finish: 14th
Remaining fixtures:
5 May: v Hurricanes, away
12 May: v Highlanders, home
Cats:
Current position: 13th
Best possible finish: 12th
Worst possible finish: 14th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Blues, home
13 May: v Cheetahs, away
Force:
Current position: 14th
Best possible finish: 13th
Worst possible finish: 14th
Remaining fixtures:
6 May: v Cheetahs, away
12 May: v Sharks, away
By Jan de Koning, Rugby365