Since Bracewell took over we have become a first rate one day team - but our test cricket has slipped (not so long ago we were third best in the world in tests - pushing second......)
Anything can happen in a one off one day cricket final but really NZL should win on form, and the overall talent we possess throughout the team.
England, Flintoff/Strauss excluded, are pretty poor, most sides would easily beat this current Windies outfit. England seem to have real problems pacing their innings correctly, and as a result are not getting the scores they need on the various wickets provided. On a good pitch at lords, facing only two specialist bowlers, they should have scored 300+. Robert Key could be Scott Styrises "banjo playing" brother, but bats like Chris Martin. Vaughn has an appalling International one day batting record, but people in higher places are loath to do anything about it because he is the captain.
Throw in the bowling, which generally lacks teeth, especially in the beginning of the innings, where early wickets are vitally important. The first wicket apart, the only other two wickets to fall for the Windies at Lords were two short and wide efforts that should have resulted in easy boundaries but were instead edged behind to the keeper.
The Windies on a good day will destroy anybody with some of their top batsmen, but their bowling is very weak, and their fielding even weaker. If you collar their fast bowlers early they tend to become even more erratic (ie. loads of extras), and their 3rd, fourth and fifth bowlers are really only part time hacks. Their fielding is abysmal.
New Zealand has a pretty well balanced one day team that bats a long way down without sacrificing on the bowling attack. Cairns and Oram make this possible. They are a pretty good fielding team (though some dropped catches recently hasn't shown this lately). Bowling is still a little weaker then usual (ie no "in form Tuffey, no Bond), but have enough part time bowlers capable of helping out if required (ie. Scott Styris).
By the way they should scrap the next game, as it is just a waste of time, and just have the final at Lords.