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[2019 Super Rugby] Round 15 (24 & 25 May 2019)
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<blockquote data-quote="saulan" data-source="post: 945274" data-attributes="member: 60236"><p>Not commenting on the critics part because my view is in detail above and I believe the critics have largely poor arguments.</p><p></p><p>TL: DR I don't think there is an SA "worst team" at this stage given the matches they have currently played and the fixtures they have ahead of them as well as how tight their log points are.</p><p></p><p>But there are currently 3 points between all SA teams, with the top team and the worst team having the same WLD outcomes. I wouldn't really say the Stormers are the worst. For fun though, here's my view of how the SA teams will end up at the end of the season given remaining games:</p><p>Sharks: win (Canes home) lose bonus (Jaguares away) lose bonus (Stormers away) 2 bonus points gained</p><p>Bulls: Lose (Blues away) lose bonus (Highlanders away) win (Lions home) one bonus point gained</p><p>Lions: Win (Stormers home) lose (Hurricanes home) lose bonus (Bulls away) one bonus point gained</p><p>Stormers: Lose bonus (Lions away) win bonus (Sunwolves home) win (Sharks home) 2 bonus points gained</p><p></p><p>That would give the following table:</p><p>Stormers 40</p><p>Sharks 39</p><p>Bulls 37</p><p>Lions 35</p><p></p><p>There is a high chance the Sharks could also lose to the Hurricanes, but feel that there is also a high chance they could beat the Stormers.</p><p></p><p>I think the Bulls are done at this stage unless Pollard recovers, there is also the chance they could lose to the Lions at home.</p><p></p><p>All of the remaining Lions games I believe they are likely to lose, but giving them home advantage against the Stormers.</p><p></p><p>Stormers could take the win against the Lions, but also the Sharks and Stormers/WP have a habit of winning their away games against each other.</p><p></p><p>Edit: [USER=20605]@smartcooky[/USER] , noticed the Lions have some incorrect stats on the table. Should be played 13 and lost 6.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="saulan, post: 945274, member: 60236"] Not commenting on the critics part because my view is in detail above and I believe the critics have largely poor arguments. TL: DR I don't think there is an SA "worst team" at this stage given the matches they have currently played and the fixtures they have ahead of them as well as how tight their log points are. But there are currently 3 points between all SA teams, with the top team and the worst team having the same WLD outcomes. I wouldn't really say the Stormers are the worst. For fun though, here's my view of how the SA teams will end up at the end of the season given remaining games: Sharks: win (Canes home) lose bonus (Jaguares away) lose bonus (Stormers away) 2 bonus points gained Bulls: Lose (Blues away) lose bonus (Highlanders away) win (Lions home) one bonus point gained Lions: Win (Stormers home) lose (Hurricanes home) lose bonus (Bulls away) one bonus point gained Stormers: Lose bonus (Lions away) win bonus (Sunwolves home) win (Sharks home) 2 bonus points gained That would give the following table: Stormers 40 Sharks 39 Bulls 37 Lions 35 There is a high chance the Sharks could also lose to the Hurricanes, but feel that there is also a high chance they could beat the Stormers. I think the Bulls are done at this stage unless Pollard recovers, there is also the chance they could lose to the Lions at home. All of the remaining Lions games I believe they are likely to lose, but giving them home advantage against the Stormers. Stormers could take the win against the Lions, but also the Sharks and Stormers/WP have a habit of winning their away games against each other. Edit: [USER=20605]@smartcooky[/USER] , noticed the Lions have some incorrect stats on the table. Should be played 13 and lost 6. [/QUOTE]
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[2019 Super Rugby] Round 15 (24 & 25 May 2019)
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