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Early 6 Nations Predictions Post AI’s

It wouldn't surprise anyone if France pick up a loss doing French things before game 5. A few speculating things are not well in camp atm.

I think Ireland are being written off far to easily by some in this supposed two horse race.
Have you not seen SA twitter? South Africa chose to not beat us by 50 to inflict scars that we'll never recover from, nothing to do with not having a fully fledged lock on the pitch.

What about Irish twitter? That's if for us, we're a soccer nation again because we are, by the skin of our teeth, one of the best 32 nations in Europe and that's better than anything the rugby team have ever achieved.

Go on twitter more brother, you look stupid right now.
 
Sorry but this is nonsense. 4/4 is a good achievement but doesn't translate to anything other than first in the 6N = 'unacceptable'. We might have edged ahead of France and Ireland in the current rankings but IMO, there is very little to choose between the three teams.

Beating both would be a huge success. A more realistic scenario would be beating Ireland at home and losing to in a close game with France on the final day which would either give them a GS or leave the ***le down to points difference. Would your really regard not finishing first in that scenario as mediocre or unacceptable? If so, I think your standards are almost impossibly high.
I probably went a bit strong by saying anything but first is unacceptable - However, if we’re not at least in Championship contention come the final weekend in Paris, then I would class that as unacceptable. We should be finishing in the top 2. In response to @Saintjay, I’d be giving Ireland a massive chance if it was the “odd” year and they had Eng and Fra in Dublin. I’m just not sure that they’re quite in the form they would need to be in at the moment to beat England or France away.
 
Given that other teams are allowed to play well, Ireland and Scotland certainly have the wherewithal to beat us, even if we start as favourites.
We don't start as favourites against France - especially in Paris
100%. As much as I think we've seen excellent progress in 2025, winning at Murrayfield and beating Ireland will still be significant challenges that shouldn’t be underestimated.

I’m at the point where I’d be disappointed to lose either game but acting like we’re world beaters is very premature IMO.
 
We will beat Wal and Ita. We’re just better.

We should beat Sco and Ire. We’re on a different trajectory to these, and start favourites, although they’re no gimmes. Authorititive wins against these might actually be the barometers of real progress

We might beat France. But probably not if their minds are on it and their superstars turn up. But regardless, it ought to be tight.

Hard to see anything other than Eng & Fra battling for 1st and 2nd, Ire and Sco for 3rd and 4th and Ita and that other country trying to avoid the WS.

Fra are hosting Ita in Lille, capacity 50,000 rather than the 80,000 capacity SdF. I hope there’s a good reason for it otherwise it feels like a slap in the face for Ita
 
We will beat Wal and Ita. We're just better.

We should beat Sco and Ire. We're on a different trajectory to these, and start favourites, although they're no gimmes. Authorititive wins against these might actually be the barometers of real progress

We might beat France. But probably not if their minds are on it and their superstars turn up. But regardless, it ought to be tight.

Hard to see anything other than Eng & Fra battling for 1st and 2nd, Ire and Sco for 3rd and 4th and Ita and that other country trying to avoid the WS.

Fra are hosting Ita in Lille, capacity 50,000 rather than the 80,000 capacity SdF. I hope there's a good reason for it otherwise it feels like a slap in the face for Ita
France will implode against us if it's a Championship or GS decider - if there's one 6N team that historically has always got under their skin and rattled them in big games, it's England. I'm always far more confident against the French, no matter how good their side is, than I am against the home nations. France, bar the odd aberration, is the one game every year that you can bank on England turning up in. It’s the complete reversal of how i always see the Calcutta Cup.
 
There's always one smart arse isn't there?. I would point out that England weren't going for the Championship in any of those games.
2004 they were.

But mostly I'm just really failing to see your point, it's as 50/50 a fixture as there is in the championship amd has been for about 80 years.

Are you saying France are a far better team that England punch up against or what? Seems to me like this is based entirely off this year's championship.
 
There's always one smart arse isn't there?. I would point out that England weren't going for the Championship in any of those games.
When was the last time we beat them in France probably about 2016 or something.

Watching them put 50 plus on us at Twickenham in 2023 was a fun experience. I'm still waiting for that England team to turn up.
 
When was the last time we beat them in France probably about 2016 or something.

Watching them put 50 plus on us at Twickenham in 2023 was a fun experience. I'm still waiting for that England team to turn up.
Ah yes, early on when Borthwick was trying to accumulate as many "worst ever" records as possible, with that being the largest winning margin either side have ever had against the other.
 
In the 6N era, there have been 7 Lions tours. 2026 will be the 7th post Lions 6N. France have won 4 of them (3 Grand Slams) and Ireland 2 (1 Grand Slam). My pet theory is that the countries with significant Lions representation are knackered by the time the 6N rolls around. My money is on France getting the slam, England 2nd, Scotland 3rd and Ireland will come 4th. Italy & Wales will play for the spoon.
 
In the 6N era, there have been 7 Lions tours. 2026 will be the 7th post Lions 6N. France have won 4 of them (3 Grand Slams) and Ireland 2 (1 Grand Slam). My pet theory is that the countries with significant Lions representation are knackered by the time the 6N rolls around. My money is on France getting the slam, England 2nd, Scotland 3rd and Ireland will come 4th. Italy & Wales will play for the spoon.
I think the whole thing about France dominating the 6N post Lions is a bit of a myth tbh. The stats are the stats - but, I think the main reason why France do well in that scenario is that in an even year they have England and Ireland, the two most consistently competitive teams in the 6N era at home and the Championship is basically gifted to them on a plate before a ball has been kicked. Another reason why having set opponents home and away in a particular year that takes no account of current rankings is absolutely ridiculous. The 6N fixtures should be done by seeding every year to give every side a more balanced list taking into account the rankings at the time. I mean next year France have got England (3), Ireland (4), plus Italy (10) at home - and Scotland (9) and Wales (12) away. How is that remotely fair?. It’s complete garbage.
 
I think the whole thing about France dominating the 6N post Lions is a bit of a myth tbh. The stats are the stats - but, I think the main reason why France do well in that scenario is that in an even year they have England and Ireland, the two most consistently competitive teams in the 6N era at home and the Championship is basically gifted to them on a plate before a ball has been kicked. Another reason why having set opponents home and away in a particular year that takes no account of current rankings is absolutely ridiculous. The 6N fixtures should be done by seeding every year to give every side a more balanced list taking into account the rankings at the time. I mean next year France have got England (3), Ireland (4), plus Italy (10) at home - and Scotland (9) and Wales (12) away. How is that remotely fair?. It's complete garbage.
Doing it by seeding is even worse, it could cause a right mess with repeated home or away games on certain fixtures. A few years ago we wouldn't have been bothered by France or Scotland away and would have been bothered by Wales away. It shifts and sometimes works well for some teams, other times it doesn't.

Ultimately if you're going to be the best, you need to be able to handle it. Think South Africa would care away to any of the 6n teams?
 
I think the whole thing about France dominating the 6N post Lions is a bit of a myth tbh. The stats are the stats - but, I think the main reason why France do well in that scenario is that in an even year they have England and Ireland, the two most consistently competitive teams in the 6N era at home and the Championship is basically gifted to them on a plate before a ball has been kicked. Another reason why having set opponents home and away in a particular year that takes no account of current rankings is absolutely ridiculous. The 6N fixtures should be done by seeding every year to give every side a more balanced list taking into account the rankings at the time. I mean next year France have got England (3), Ireland (4), plus Italy (10) at home - and Scotland (9) and Wales (12) away. How is that remotely fair?. It's complete garbage.
I think you'll find we're 11th now bud. Put that in your pipe and smoke it.
 
I think the whole thing about France dominating the 6N post Lions is a bit of a myth tbh. The stats are the stats - but, I think the main reason why France do well in that scenario is that in an even year they have England and Ireland, the two most consistently competitive teams in the 6N era at home and the Championship is basically gifted to them on a plate before a ball has been kicked. Another reason why having set opponents home and away in a particular year that takes no account of current rankings is absolutely ridiculous. The 6N fixtures should be done by seeding every year to give every side a more balanced list taking into account the rankings at the time. I mean next year France have got England (3), Ireland (4), plus Italy (10) at home - and Scotland (9) and Wales (12) away. How is that remotely fair?. It's complete garbage.
Fairness of revenue split maybe? The SRU and WRU etc are not giving up home games so the richer unions can make even more money. Also to allow fans to see there own team play at home. I'd rather watch England in Edinburgh or Cardiff. Far better day out.

The most competitive teams of the 6 nations era is France 7 wins tied with England. France edge England on Grandslams 4-2. I don't think England are even top 3 on Slam wins in the 6 nations era.
 
Also on sporting merit, where you want to beat teams both home and away.
England are low on grandslams - not because the fixture list always hates us, but because the Scots, Welsh and Irish always hate us - and always raise their game against us, and the only thing they like better than stopping us winning a slam is to win one of their own (and plenty would actually prefer to prevent England winning one).

I've no problem with mixing up the fixture list - but A] it needs to be done well in advance so that tickets can be sold, B] basing it on seedings is just favouritism (but is completely inappropriate for a competition that isn't knock-out), and C] won't solve the problem you're complaining about (IMO)
 
Also on sporting merit, where you want to beat teams both home and away.
England are low on grandslams - not because the fixture list always hates us, but because the Scots, Welsh and Irish always hate us - and always raise their game against us, and the only thing they like better than stopping us winning a slam is to win one of their own (and plenty would actually prefer to prevent England winning one).

I've no problem with mixing up the fixture list - but A] it needs to be done well in advance so that tickets can be sold, B] basing it on seedings is just favouritism (but is completely inappropriate for a competition that isn't knock-out), and C] won't solve the problem you're complaining about (IMO)

That doesn't apply for Ireland at all.

I'd say 2001 and 2004 are our only wins where there was a big gulf in terms of world rankings and 2004 was the first of 4 wins on the bounce and 7 wins in 8.

Since 2001 the best examples of a team raising their level for a one off performance in this fixture are England in 2022 and 2024 imo.
 

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