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I want to reflect for a minute on Scarlets after their innept start to the season. They had a good end to last season, but otherwise they've been a poor side for a number of years now. The same, or worse, can definitely be said about the Dragons too, but what I'm more concerned about at the Scarlets is what appears to be a complete lack of homegrown players coming through their systems.
They have a ton of foreign born players on their books, many have become Welsh qualified, but that doesn't change the fact that they were partly, or wholly, developed by others. Here's their current squad grouped.
Developed by the region:
Archie Hughes, Dan Davis, Dane Blacker, Eddie James, Gareth Davies, Harri O'connor, Ioan Nicholas, Jac Price, Jarrod Taylor, Joe Roberts, Josh Macleod, Kemsley Mathias, Macs Page, Ryan Elias, Tom Rogers, Tomi Lewis
Developed by others:
Alec Hepburn, Archer Holz, Blair Murray, Ellis Mee, Henry Thomas, Jake Ball, Joe Hawkins, Johnny Williams, Mernus Van Der Merwe, Max Douglas, Sam Costellow, Sam Louis, Taine Plumtree, Tristan Davies
Most of their starting 15 haven't come through the Scarlets system, and when you look at the players that have, many aren't good enough, or still unproven.
Go back 10+ years and Scarlets were packed full of homegrown international players.
Dragons are probably a bit better, but still not great. At least Cardiff and Ospreys can mostly demonstrate strong player development pathways, even if they could still be better.
Thisnis why infeel the argument for reducing to 2 teams doesnt make sense, when down to 2, the same will happen, squads who still cant financially compete consolidate to oversees born players, those Welsh talented youngsters will continue to flea Wales at early ages, and instead of having 4 academies failing it'll be 2 failing academies, with less professional playing opportunities.
Which is whats key, the top 2 inches of development doesnt come from talent, coaching, or physical prowess, it comes with exposure at playing at the top level, every professional clube has 23 places per week, thats currently 92 professional players, and it will drop to 46.
If you think Wales has 10 problems now, imagine how bad it will be when Costelow and Sheedy block both professional 10 starting spots, and the likes of Harri Wilde cant get into a squad in Wales. Wilde plays for the U20s, needs game time to develop and challenge for a starting spot, instead he will leave the U20s and he will have 2 options:
1. Be identified as the next Welsh 10, and be shoe horned into East wales squad for game time, weakening the East Wales squad, and plowing massive time effort and resources into a player hoping he makes it.
2. Leave Wales for game time in ideally the English prem, but probably not, and play in English 2nd division, or maybe French 2nd and doesnt get looked after, and either fails, or gets so good his head os turned.
Or when both east and west are forced to import a tighthead with size, we might never see another Welsh tighthead again! Now Imagine Wales have the same issues in 6 or 7 positions, both wlesh clubs will collapse under having to shoehorn young players in, and not be allowed to utilise overseas talent...
Unless they follow a Scottish model, and just hoover up overseas Welsh qualifiable talent en masse, and discard those who don't make it, it is the quicker, cheaper and more viable option!