If Wales and Ireland get a ref who is just as strict/dodgy at the breakdown as Kaplan was this evening, Wales might get hit by the double whammy of an incredibly streetwise Ireland pack and a strict ref. Martyn Williams it seemed to me at times didn't quite get the handle on Kaplan during the game and at times got caught out as result.

Ireland keep it as clean as they did against France and I'd put them ahead of Wales.