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The Andre de Waal High Kicks Theorem
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<blockquote data-quote="Cruz_del_Sur" data-source="post: 1163829" data-attributes="member: 55747"><p>The above, for starters, is absolutely not true. I could go on and on but let me give the simplest example: football (soccer). It happens every day, in every corner of the planet, from 7-year-olds playing interschool tournaments in Malaysia to UCL knock-out games. It's just not true. </p><p></p><p>Regarding the theorem, there are a few problems with your theorem, but the main ones are</p><p>- you do not account for the fact that distance from the ball to the goal line is a critical factor with regards to scoring. Sometimes possession is worth gold, but sometimes territory is worth even more. It is quite circumstantial,</p><p>- you appear to be considering this only from an offensive point of view. That is a mistake. In rugby you can go forward (closer to your op's goal line ) defending and giving away possession. </p><p>- the probability of retrieving the ball might very well not be 50%. If you decide when and where to kick you could easily alter that. If you have a good kicker, someone good in the air, and notice a weakness in your opposition back 3 you could very well tweak that stat to your advantage and exploit it.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Cruz_del_Sur, post: 1163829, member: 55747"] The above, for starters, is absolutely not true. I could go on and on but let me give the simplest example: football (soccer). It happens every day, in every corner of the planet, from 7-year-olds playing interschool tournaments in Malaysia to UCL knock-out games. It's just not true. Regarding the theorem, there are a few problems with your theorem, but the main ones are - you do not account for the fact that distance from the ball to the goal line is a critical factor with regards to scoring. Sometimes possession is worth gold, but sometimes territory is worth even more. It is quite circumstantial, - you appear to be considering this only from an offensive point of view. That is a mistake. In rugby you can go forward (closer to your op's goal line ) defending and giving away possession. - the probability of retrieving the ball might very well not be 50%. If you decide when and where to kick you could easily alter that. If you have a good kicker, someone good in the air, and notice a weakness in your opposition back 3 you could very well tweak that stat to your advantage and exploit it. [/QUOTE]
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The Andre de Waal High Kicks Theorem
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