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Super 15: Crusaders - Blues @ Alpine Energy Stadium, Timaru (11-06-2011, 08:35 GMT)

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Alpine Energy Stadium, Timaru (11-06-2011, 08:35 GMT)
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Round 17, Crusaders-Blues. Does it get better than this? The Blues are the conference leader in New Zealand with only 2 points ahead of the Crusaders (Blues 55, Crusaders 53) and this is by far the match that means the most this weekend. The Crusaders can snatch the conference ***le, which will get them into 3rd place, drawing the nr. 6 in the play offs (most likely the Bulls or Waratahs). If the Crusaders lose, they risk dropping down and having to travel for the play offs. When these 2 met up in Round 1 in Auckland, the Crusaders looked to grab the 4 points with a 9-22 lead. In the last quarter the Blues turned it all around. Stanley and Woodcock scored tries to narrow the gap to 19-22 before skipper Captain Mealamu went over to score their 3rd 5-pointer, landing them a 24-22 win over the Canterbury Crusaders.

Last year the Crusaders won 33-20 when the Blues travelled South. The last time the Blues won against the Crusaders away from Eden Park was in 2004. In total they won 3 in Christchurch and lost 5.




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*Vbookie odds supplied by BWIN*
 
Crusaders: Tom Marshall, Brent Ward, Robbie Fruean, Sonny Bill Williams, Zac Guildford, Dan Carter, Andy Ellis, Kieran Read (c), Matt Todd, George Whitelock, Sam Whitelock, Brad Thorn, Owen Franks, Corey Flynn, Ben Franks.
Reserves: Quentin MacDonald, Wyatt Crockett, Luke Romano, Jonathan Poff, Wlli Heinz, Matt Berquist, Ryan Crotty.

Blues: Jared Payne, Joe Rokocoko, Benson Stanley, Luke McAlister, Rene Ranger, Stephen Brett, Alby Mathewson, Peter Saili, Luke Braid, Jerome Kaino, Ali Williams, Anthony Boric, Charlie Faumuina, Keven Mealamu (capt), John Afoa.
Reserves: Tom McCartney, Tevita Mailau, Chris Lowery, Sean Polwart, Chris Smylie, Lachie Munro, Sherwin Stowers.

A few changes for the Crusaders. McCaw has been ruled out with injury and has been replaced by Matt Todd at 7. Todd has a huge chance over the next two weeks to convince the AB's selectors that he should be McCaw's understudy for the Tri-nations and RWC (and personally I would pick him). The return of both Sam Whitelock and Andy Ellis is huge for the Crusaders. Chris Jack has done a good job in Whitelock's absense, but Whitelock is a world class operator. Andy Ellis was the form NZ halfback before injury, and adds a huge amount to the team with his ability to control the game, and his running from he base of the breakdown. Wyatt Crockett is given a rest this week, with the Franks brothers in the front row.

The Blues welcome back Mealamu this week, after he was given a rest on the bench last week. Charlie Faumuina gets a start at tighthead (with Afoa switching to loose-head prop) after making an impact from the bench last week. The backline has been rearranged once again, with Brett coming back into 10, McAlister and Stanley both moving out one position, and Payne moving to fullback. I'm not surpsried to see these changes in the backline, as McAlister didn't convince last week at 10, while Munro struggled at fullback. Though I do think Payne is far more effective at centre, the Blues could do with some experience in the 15 jersey.

It will be interesting to see how the Blues front row copes with the Crusaders front row at scum time. John Afoa will want to have a strong game, as he is competing with Ben Franks for a spot on the AB's bench (though they wont' be facing each other this week, as they are both at loosehead). Cory Flynn will want to have a strong game agaisnt the incumbant AB's hooker to push his cliams for an AB's spot. The battle between the locks should be a highlight, as the four starting locks are probably the four locks that Henry and co. will pick for the Tri-nations/RWC.

Ellis v Mathewson at halfback will be another key matchup, as they are probably battling for the third AB's halfback spot. Zac Guildford v Joe Rokocoko on the wing will be another interesting battle; neither are likely to make the AB's squad at this stage in my opinion, though could force their way in with some strong late season form (of if there are some injuries to the other contenders). I'm sure the Blues will want to get the ball to Rene Ranger as much as possible, as though Brent Ward has done a solid job for the Crusaders, he may sturggle to contain Rangers power.

Overall I'm picking the Crusaders to take it by about 10 points.
 
I think the crusaders will win by 8 or more.

Blues front row will fear better with Charlie and Kevin back but I think Pat Lam has made far too many changes in the backline since Toeava was injured and they havn't been able to settle. I bet if McAlister was given another chance at 10 this week he would do a much better job but lam has over reacted. Same with Munro.

Also picking Sonny Bill to have a big game, he is due for another big one.
 
Should be a really good game.
But the Crusaders don't really have the home advantage as the AMI stadium was damaged during the quake.
So they will start the play offs in Crusaders style, search and destroy.
 
The Crusaders will have the great crowd support in Timaru ... great to see the Crusaders getting a few reinforcements back from injury - I think it will be closer than some think ... Crusaders by 5
 
great work from kaino to milk that penalty, what a try saver

i hope the ref's don't ruin the game by getting too many wrong though, they already missed the offsides and forward passes
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joe just doesn't have it anymore :(
 
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Great game, bit of magic from Carter to seal it in the end. Hopefully SBW's injury isn't too serious.
 
NZ teams sucking at the mo. Hopefully find better form in the finals. (if more than one makes it) Bit of an injury toll this weekend too.
 
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font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]--> Good win for the Crusaders, though the match could really have gone either way. Both teams blew a number of chances, and had some dubious refereeing decisions go against them (the Faumuina try that apparently held up (by the grass?), and the Marshall try that was disallowed due to an apparent obstruction).

I was really impressed by Faumuina again for the Blues; it has been unfourtunate that he has been injured for most the season. He was solid at scrum-time, and makes and impact around the field with his powerful running. The blues lineout, Ali Williams in particular, was impressive. I still don't think Ali Williams is as good around the field as he used to be, but his lineout work has been impressive all season. Luke Braid had a fantastic match; the battle between him and Matt Todd was one of the standout features of the match for me. Braid has improved every match as the season has gone on.

There were few standouts in the Blues backline for me. Mathewson was pretty quiet and Brett didn't impress. I thought Ranger looked dangerous before he went off with injury (hopefully it was not too serious), and he took his try brilliantly. I thought Rokocoko had a solid game on the other wing, but I think Munro's lack off pace was again exposed when he came onto the field.

Matt Todd was the standout forward for the Crusaders, like Braid he seemed to be everywhere. Keiran Read and the Franks brothers also had strong games. I thought Andy Ellis made a big impact for the Crusaders, particularly in terms of organising the rest of the team. He did make a couple of basic errors though (including blowing a certain try by dropping the ball). Dan Carter had a strong game; the kick that set up Guildfords second try was pure class. Guildford himself was the best player on the park for me. His work-rate was phenomenal, he broke the line numerous times, chased kicks well, and his defense was solid (including the try-saving tackle on Munro). He did make a couple of errors (forward pass to Whitelock, getting penalized for not releasing in the tackle), but in my opinion he is probably the form NZ wing of the Super 15. Whether he has done enough to convince Henry and co. to pick him in the Tri-nations squad is yet to be seen, but personally I would pick him if I was an AB's selector…
 

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