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Rugby World Cup 2019 Qualifying & Repechage Tournament
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<blockquote data-quote="Brigantine" data-source="post: 896917" data-attributes="member: 73940"><p>In the end, despite all the excitement over the last month or so, Romania survive their upset losses to Germany and Spain and qualify as Europe 1. They become the 17th team qualified for RWC 2019, and the 19th to qualify for the final 23.</p><p></p><p>WR can now book the Oaks in for June Internationals, and the Europe 2 final will be Spain vs Portugal. <span style="font-size: 12px">(Date TBD, Spain is favoured 85%-15%)</span></p><p></p><p>The qualification chances for Canada, Africa 2 and Asia/Oceania just doubled - we're back to anticipating a Repechage Tournament with no clear favourite.</p><p></p><p><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong><strong>--------------------</strong></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>Chances of Qualifying</strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 9px">+/- Changes from 2 weeks ago</span></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong><strong>to Pool A (Romania + 1):</strong> </strong>Samoa 87.5% <span style="font-size: 9px">+25.5</span>, Spain 12% <span style="font-size: 9px">-66</span>, <span style="font-size: 12px">Portugal 0.5% </span><span style="font-size: 9px">+0.4</span><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><span style="font-size: 10px">As Play-Off Winner: Samoa 87.5% <span style="font-size: 9px">+25.5</span>, Spain 12% <span style="font-size: 9px">+8.0</span>, Portugal 0.5% <span style="font-size: 9px">+0.4</span></span></li> </ul></li> </ul> <ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>to Pool B (2):</strong> Namibia 87% <span style="font-size: 9px">+0.5</span>, Spain 35% <span style="font-size: 10px">+25</span>, Canada 34% <span style="font-size: 9px">+16</span>, Hong Kong 15% <span style="font-size: 9px">+8.0</span>, Kenya 12% <span style="font-size: 9px">+0.5</span>, Samoa 10.0% <span style="font-size: 9px">-22</span>, Portugal 4.0%<span style="font-size: 12px"> <span style="font-size: 9px">+3.0</span><span style="font-size: 12px">, </span>Uganda 1.0% </span><span style="font-size: 9px">NC</span><span style="font-size: 12px">, Morocco 1.0% </span><span style="font-size: 9px">NC</span><span style="font-size: 12px">, <span style="font-size: 12px"><span style="font-size: 12px"><span style="font-size: 12px">Korea 0.2%</span><span style="font-size: 9px"> +0.1</span></span>, </span>Zimbabwe 0.1%, Tunisia <0.1%<span style="font-size: 12px"><span style="font-size: 12px">, </span></span>Romania 0% <span style="font-size: 9px">-32</span></span><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><span style="font-size: 10px">As Africa 1: Namibia 86%, Kenya 11%, Uganda 1.0%, Morocco 1.0%, Zimbabwe 0.1%, Tunisia <0.1%</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><span style="font-size: 10px"><strong>As Repechage:</strong> <span style="font-size: 10px"><span style="font-size: 10px"><span style="font-size: 10px">Spain 35% <span style="font-size: 9px">+25</span>, </span> </span></span><span style="font-size: 10px"><strong>Canada 34% <span style="font-size: 9px">+16</span></strong>, </span><strong>Hong Kong 15% <span style="font-size: 9px">+8.0</span></strong>, <span style="font-size: 10px"><span style="font-size: 10px"><span style="font-size: 10px">Samoa 10.0% <span style="font-size: 9px">-22</span>, </span></span></span>Portugal 4.0% <span style="font-size: 9px">+3.0</span>, <strong><span style="font-size: 10px">Kenya 0.8% <span style="font-size: 9px">+0.6</span></span></strong>, <span style="font-size: 10px"><strong>Namibia 0.6% <span style="font-size: 9px">+0.4</span></strong>, </span>Korea 0.2% <span style="font-size: 9px">+0.1<span style="font-size: 10px"><span style="font-size: 10px">, Uganda <0.1% <span style="font-size: 9px">+<0.1</span>, Romania 0% <span style="font-size: 9px">-32</span></span></span></span></span></li> </ul></li> </ul> <ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>to any pool (3):</strong> Samoa 97.8% <span style="font-size: 9px">+3.8</span>, Namibia 87% <span style="font-size: 9px">+0.5</span>, <strong>Spain 47% <span style="font-size: 9px">-41</span></strong>, Canada 34% <span style="font-size: 9px">+16</span>, Hong Kong 15% <span style="font-size: 9px">+8.0</span>, Kenya 12% <span style="font-size: 9px">+0.5</span>, <span style="font-size: 12px">Portugal 4.5%</span> <span style="font-size: 9px">+3.3</span><span style="font-size: 12px">, Uganda 1.0% </span><span style="font-size: 9px">NC</span><span style="font-size: 12px">, Morocco 1.0% </span><span style="font-size: 9px">NC</span><span style="font-size: 12px"><span style="font-size: 12px">, <span style="font-size: 12px"><span style="font-size: 12px">Korea 0.2% </span><span style="font-size: 9px">+0.1</span></span></span>, Zimbabwe 0.1%, Tunisia <0.1% </span></li> </ul><p>How things stand:</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">17 - 17 countries that had guaranteed spaces in the final 23 including:<ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">12 - 12 Automatic Qualifiers direct to the RWC <span style="font-size: 10px">(WRR 1-9, 11, 12, 14)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">15 - USA, Fiji and Tonga have secured direct qualification <span style="font-size: 10px">(WRR 15, 10, 13)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">16 - Samoa (16) can no longer qualify directly, but still has 2 repechage chances - the H&A play-off vs Europe 2, and then failing that, the Repechage Tournament</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">17 - Canada (21) failed direct qualification, so will be at the Repechage Tournament</li> </ul></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">18 - Uruguay (18) earned the spot for the Americas and qualified directly as Americas 2</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">19 - Romania (17) qualified directly as Europe 1</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">25 - 6 countries from Africa are still able to qualify directly, as well as having the Repechage Tournament as a Plan B.<ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Namibia (24), Kenya (30), Uganda (35), Morocco (39), Tunisia (43), Zimbabwe (44)</li> </ul></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">31 - 5 further countries can not qualify directly, but have one chance to qualify for the final 23.<ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">27 - Spain (20) and Portugal (23) can qualify via the H&A repechage play-off vs Samoa, or the Repechage Tournament. <span style="font-size: 10px">(Spain failed direct qualification)</span></li> </ul><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">31 - 3 Asian countries and Tahiti are only able to qualify for the Repechage Tournament.<ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Hong Kong (22), Korea (31), Malaysia (45), Tahiti (85)</li> </ul></li> </ul></li> </ul> <ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">59 countries eliminated <span style="font-size: 10px">(Including Russia (19) and WRR 25-29)</span></li> </ul></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Brigantine, post: 896917, member: 73940"] In the end, despite all the excitement over the last month or so, Romania survive their upset losses to Germany and Spain and qualify as Europe 1. They become the 17th team qualified for RWC 2019, and the 19th to qualify for the final 23. WR can now book the Oaks in for June Internationals, and the Europe 2 final will be Spain vs Portugal. [SIZE=3](Date TBD, Spain is favoured 85%-15%)[/SIZE] The qualification chances for Canada, Africa 2 and Asia/Oceania just doubled - we're back to anticipating a Repechage Tournament with no clear favourite. [SIZE=5][B][B]--------------------[/B][/B] [B]Chances of Qualifying[/B][/SIZE] [SIZE=1]+/- Changes from 2 weeks ago[/SIZE] [LIST] [*][B][B]to Pool A (Romania + 1):[/B] [/B]Samoa 87.5% [SIZE=1]+25.5[/SIZE], Spain 12% [SIZE=1]-66[/SIZE], [SIZE=3]Portugal 0.5% [/SIZE][SIZE=1]+0.4[/SIZE] [LIST] [*][SIZE=2]As Play-Off Winner: Samoa 87.5% [SIZE=1]+25.5[/SIZE], Spain 12% [SIZE=1]+8.0[/SIZE], Portugal 0.5% [SIZE=1]+0.4[/SIZE][/SIZE] [/LIST] [/LIST] [LIST] [*][B]to Pool B (2):[/B] Namibia 87% [SIZE=1]+0.5[/SIZE], Spain 35% [SIZE=2]+25[/SIZE], Canada 34% [SIZE=1]+16[/SIZE], Hong Kong 15% [SIZE=1]+8.0[/SIZE], Kenya 12% [SIZE=1]+0.5[/SIZE], Samoa 10.0% [SIZE=1]-22[/SIZE], Portugal 4.0%[SIZE=3] [SIZE=1]+3.0[/SIZE][SIZE=3], [/SIZE]Uganda 1.0% [/SIZE][SIZE=1]NC[/SIZE][SIZE=3], Morocco 1.0% [/SIZE][SIZE=1]NC[/SIZE][SIZE=3], [SIZE=3][SIZE=3][SIZE=3]Korea 0.2%[/SIZE][SIZE=1] +0.1[/SIZE][/SIZE], [/SIZE]Zimbabwe 0.1%, Tunisia <0.1%[SIZE=3][SIZE=3], [/SIZE][/SIZE]Romania 0% [SIZE=1]-32[/SIZE][/SIZE] [LIST] [*][SIZE=2]As Africa 1: Namibia 86%, Kenya 11%, Uganda 1.0%, Morocco 1.0%, Zimbabwe 0.1%, Tunisia <0.1%[/SIZE] [*][SIZE=2][B]As Repechage:[/B] [SIZE=2][SIZE=2][SIZE=2]Spain 35% [SIZE=1]+25[/SIZE], [/SIZE] [/SIZE][/SIZE][SIZE=2][B]Canada 34% [SIZE=1]+16[/SIZE][/B], [/SIZE][B]Hong Kong 15% [SIZE=1]+8.0[/SIZE][/B], [SIZE=2][SIZE=2][SIZE=2]Samoa 10.0% [SIZE=1]-22[/SIZE], [/SIZE][/SIZE][/SIZE]Portugal 4.0% [SIZE=1]+3.0[/SIZE], [B][SIZE=2]Kenya 0.8% [SIZE=1]+0.6[/SIZE][/SIZE][/B], [SIZE=2][B]Namibia 0.6% [SIZE=1]+0.4[/SIZE][/B], [/SIZE]Korea 0.2% [SIZE=1]+0.1[SIZE=2][SIZE=2], Uganda <0.1% [SIZE=1]+<0.1[/SIZE], Romania 0% [SIZE=1]-32[/SIZE][/SIZE][/SIZE][/SIZE][/SIZE] [/LIST] [/LIST] [LIST] [*][B]to any pool (3):[/B] Samoa 97.8% [SIZE=1]+3.8[/SIZE], Namibia 87% [SIZE=1]+0.5[/SIZE], [B]Spain 47% [SIZE=1]-41[/SIZE][/B], Canada 34% [SIZE=1]+16[/SIZE], Hong Kong 15% [SIZE=1]+8.0[/SIZE], Kenya 12% [SIZE=1]+0.5[/SIZE], [SIZE=3]Portugal 4.5%[/SIZE] [SIZE=1]+3.3[/SIZE][SIZE=3], Uganda 1.0% [/SIZE][SIZE=1]NC[/SIZE][SIZE=3], Morocco 1.0% [/SIZE][SIZE=1]NC[/SIZE][SIZE=3][SIZE=3], [SIZE=3][SIZE=3]Korea 0.2% [/SIZE][SIZE=1]+0.1[/SIZE][/SIZE][/SIZE], Zimbabwe 0.1%, Tunisia <0.1% [/SIZE] [/LIST] How things stand: [LIST] [*]17 - 17 countries that had guaranteed spaces in the final 23 including: [LIST] [*]12 - 12 Automatic Qualifiers direct to the RWC [SIZE=2](WRR 1-9, 11, 12, 14)[/SIZE] [*]15 - USA, Fiji and Tonga have secured direct qualification [SIZE=2](WRR 15, 10, 13)[/SIZE] [*]16 - Samoa (16) can no longer qualify directly, but still has 2 repechage chances - the H&A play-off vs Europe 2, and then failing that, the Repechage Tournament [*]17 - Canada (21) failed direct qualification, so will be at the Repechage Tournament [/LIST] [*]18 - Uruguay (18) earned the spot for the Americas and qualified directly as Americas 2 [*]19 - Romania (17) qualified directly as Europe 1 [*]25 - 6 countries from Africa are still able to qualify directly, as well as having the Repechage Tournament as a Plan B. [LIST] [*]Namibia (24), Kenya (30), Uganda (35), Morocco (39), Tunisia (43), Zimbabwe (44) [/LIST] [*]31 - 5 further countries can not qualify directly, but have one chance to qualify for the final 23. [LIST] [*]27 - Spain (20) and Portugal (23) can qualify via the H&A repechage play-off vs Samoa, or the Repechage Tournament. [SIZE=2](Spain failed direct qualification)[/SIZE] [/LIST] [LIST] [*]31 - 3 Asian countries and Tahiti are only able to qualify for the Repechage Tournament. [LIST] [*]Hong Kong (22), Korea (31), Malaysia (45), Tahiti (85) [/LIST] [/LIST] [/LIST] [LIST] [*]59 countries eliminated [SIZE=2](Including Russia (19) and WRR 25-29)[/SIZE] [/LIST] [/QUOTE]
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