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Rugby World Cup 2019 predictions
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<blockquote data-quote="Brigantine" data-source="post: 935672" data-attributes="member: 73940"><p>Now that there's some more movement in the rankings in Europe and America...</p><p></p><p>Ireland have lost some of their sparkle, Wales have a real chance and England are not far behind.</p><p><span style="font-size: 18px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>Potential World Champions:</strong></span></p><p></p><p>New Zealand - 52% <span style="font-size: 9px">-1</span> Chance (and for runner-up 22% <span style="font-size: 9px">-3</span>)</p><p>Ireland - 21% <u><strong><span style="font-size: 9px">-9</span></strong></u> Chance (runner-up 26% <span style="font-size: 9px">-3</span>)</p><p>Wales - 14% <u><strong><span style="font-size: 9px">+6</span></strong></u> Chance (runner-up 24% <span style="font-size: 9px">+7</span>)</p><p>England - 9.0% <u><strong><span style="font-size: 9px">+5.0</span></strong></u> Chance (runner-up 13% <span style="font-size: 9px">+4</span>)</p><p>South Africa - 2.5% <span style="font-size: 9px">-1.0</span> Chance (runner-up 10% <span style="font-size: 9px">-1</span>)</p><p>Australia - 0.8% <span style="font-size: 9px">-0.6</span> Chance (runner-up 3.5% <span style="font-size: 9px">-2.5</span>)</p><p>Scotland - <0.1% <span style="font-size: 9px">-0.3</span> Chance (runner-up 0.6% <span style="font-size: 9px">-1.6</span>)</p><p><span style="font-size: 10px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 10px">And only a <0.1% <span style="font-size: 9px">NC</span> Chance for anyone else to win (France), but a 1.0% -0.2 chance the runner-up will be <span style="font-size: 10px">France (0.6% <span style="font-size: 9px">-0.2</span>), </span>Argentina (0.2% <span style="font-size: 9px">NC</span>), <span style="font-size: 10px">Japan (0.2% <span style="font-size: 9px">NC</span>) or </span>Fiji (0.1% +0.1).</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 18px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>Chance of making the Semis:</strong></span></p><p></p><p>94.5% <span style="font-size: 10px">+4.0</span> - New Zealand</p><p>85% <u><strong><span style="font-size: 10px">+9</span></strong></u> - Wales</p><p>72% <span style="font-size: 10px">-2</span> - Ireland</p><p>72% <u><strong><span style="font-size: 10px">+14</span></strong></u> - England</p><p>30% <span style="font-size: 10px">+2</span> - South Africa</p><p>29% <u><strong><span style="font-size: 10px">-16</span></strong></u> - Australia</p><p>8.0% <u><strong><span style="font-size: 10px">-5</span></strong></u> - France</p><p><span style="font-size: 12px">3.0% <u><strong><span style="font-size: 10px">-3.5</span></strong></u> - Scotland</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 12px">3.0% <span style="font-size: 10px">-1.0</span> - Argentina</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 12px">3.0% <span style="font-size: 10px">+0.8</span> - Fiji</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 12px"><span style="font-size: 12px">1.0% <span style="font-size: 10px">+0.2</span> - Japan</span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 12px"><span style="font-size: 12px">0.2% - Other</span> (Tonga 0.1%, Georgia 0.1%)</span></p><p></p><p><span style="font-size: 10px"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>Competitive Pool Results:</strong></span></span></p><p></p><p>4th in Pool C: <span style="font-size: 10px">France 96%, Argentina 92%,</span> Tonga 65%, USA 47%</p><p>4th in Pool B: Canada 56%, Namibia 44%</p><p>2nd in Pool C: <strong>France 57%, Argentina 33%</strong>, <span style="font-size: 10px">Tonga 7%, USA 3%</span></p><p>3rd in Pool C: <span style="font-size: 10px">France 85%,</span> Argentina 73%, Tonga 27%, USA 16%</p><p>2nd in Pool A: <strong>Scotland 59%, Japan 41%</strong></p><p>4th in Pool A: Samoa 71%, Russia 29%</p><p>3rd in Pool D: <span style="font-size: 10px">Australia 97%</span>, Fiji 75%, Georgia 25%, <span style="font-size: 10px">Uruguay 3%</span></p><p>4th in Pool D: <span style="font-size: 10px">Fiji 96%</span>, Georgia 80%, Uruguay 23%</p><p>2nd in Pool D: <strong>Australia 78%, Fiji 20%</strong>, <span style="font-size: 10px">Georgia 3%</span></p><p>1st in Pool D: Wales 82%, Australia 16%, <span style="font-size: 10px">Fiji 1%</span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Brigantine, post: 935672, member: 73940"] Now that there's some more movement in the rankings in Europe and America... Ireland have lost some of their sparkle, Wales have a real chance and England are not far behind. [SIZE=5] [B]Potential World Champions:[/B][/SIZE] New Zealand - 52% [SIZE=1]-1[/SIZE] Chance (and for runner-up 22% [SIZE=1]-3[/SIZE]) Ireland - 21% [U][B][SIZE=1]-9[/SIZE][/B][/U] Chance (runner-up 26% [SIZE=1]-3[/SIZE]) Wales - 14% [U][B][SIZE=1]+6[/SIZE][/B][/U] Chance (runner-up 24% [SIZE=1]+7[/SIZE]) England - 9.0% [U][B][SIZE=1]+5.0[/SIZE][/B][/U] Chance (runner-up 13% [SIZE=1]+4[/SIZE]) South Africa - 2.5% [SIZE=1]-1.0[/SIZE] Chance (runner-up 10% [SIZE=1]-1[/SIZE]) Australia - 0.8% [SIZE=1]-0.6[/SIZE] Chance (runner-up 3.5% [SIZE=1]-2.5[/SIZE]) Scotland - <0.1% [SIZE=1]-0.3[/SIZE] Chance (runner-up 0.6% [SIZE=1]-1.6[/SIZE]) [SIZE=2] And only a <0.1% [SIZE=1]NC[/SIZE] Chance for anyone else to win (France), but a 1.0% -0.2 chance the runner-up will be [SIZE=2]France (0.6% [SIZE=1]-0.2[/SIZE]), [/SIZE]Argentina (0.2% [SIZE=1]NC[/SIZE]), [SIZE=2]Japan (0.2% [SIZE=1]NC[/SIZE]) or [/SIZE]Fiji (0.1% +0.1).[/SIZE] [SIZE=5] [B]Chance of making the Semis:[/B][/SIZE] 94.5% [SIZE=2]+4.0[/SIZE] - New Zealand 85% [U][B][SIZE=2]+9[/SIZE][/B][/U] - Wales 72% [SIZE=2]-2[/SIZE] - Ireland 72% [U][B][SIZE=2]+14[/SIZE][/B][/U] - England 30% [SIZE=2]+2[/SIZE] - South Africa 29% [U][B][SIZE=2]-16[/SIZE][/B][/U] - Australia 8.0% [U][B][SIZE=2]-5[/SIZE][/B][/U] - France [SIZE=3]3.0% [U][B][SIZE=2]-3.5[/SIZE][/B][/U] - Scotland[/SIZE] [SIZE=3]3.0% [SIZE=2]-1.0[/SIZE] - Argentina[/SIZE] [SIZE=3]3.0% [SIZE=2]+0.8[/SIZE] - Fiji[/SIZE] [SIZE=3][SIZE=3]1.0% [SIZE=2]+0.2[/SIZE] - Japan[/SIZE][/SIZE] [SIZE=3][SIZE=3]0.2% - Other[/SIZE] (Tonga 0.1%, Georgia 0.1%)[/SIZE] [SIZE=2][SIZE=5][B]Competitive Pool Results:[/B][/SIZE][/SIZE] 4th in Pool C: [SIZE=2]France 96%, Argentina 92%,[/SIZE] Tonga 65%, USA 47% 4th in Pool B: Canada 56%, Namibia 44% 2nd in Pool C: [B]France 57%, Argentina 33%[/B], [SIZE=2]Tonga 7%, USA 3%[/SIZE] 3rd in Pool C: [SIZE=2]France 85%,[/SIZE] Argentina 73%, Tonga 27%, USA 16% 2nd in Pool A: [B]Scotland 59%, Japan 41%[/B] 4th in Pool A: Samoa 71%, Russia 29% 3rd in Pool D: [SIZE=2]Australia 97%[/SIZE], Fiji 75%, Georgia 25%, [SIZE=2]Uruguay 3%[/SIZE] 4th in Pool D: [SIZE=2]Fiji 96%[/SIZE], Georgia 80%, Uruguay 23% 2nd in Pool D: [B]Australia 78%, Fiji 20%[/B], [SIZE=2]Georgia 3%[/SIZE] 1st in Pool D: Wales 82%, Australia 16%, [SIZE=2]Fiji 1%[/SIZE] [/QUOTE]
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