Pool D scenarios.

[Tricia McMillan]

So, only Namibia is still mathematically eliminated, though Samoa and Fiji have pretty much hopeless circumstances to qualify, and I thought it would be funny to make a thread about it.

Three things are certain:
1) South Africa have won the group.
2) Namibia has finished 5th.
3) Samoa can finish no lower than 3rd and have thus qualified for the 2015 tournament.

Wales can qualify if they score any table points against Fiji, or if they lose by 38 points or fewer.

Samoa can qualify if Wales do not score any table points against Fiji, and Fiji scores a bonus point win by at least 39 but no more than 83 points.

Fiji can qualify if Wales do not score any table points against them, and they score a bonus point win by at least 122 points.

Samoa taking 2nd place would see Wales 3rd and Fiji 4th.
Wales taking 2nd place would see Samoa 3rd and Fiji 4th.
Fiji taking 2nd place would see Samoa 3rd and Wales 4th.

 

[GarethEWilliams]

So Wales have qualified! I still think we should now rest Warburton and Faletau, we need those 2 guys for the QF

 

[Tricia McMillan]

So Wales have qualified! I still think we should now rest Warburton and Faletau, we need those 2 guys for the QF

In all but technicality, yes. The chances of either of the scenarios for Samoa or Fiji advancing are pretty ridiculous.

 

[Deadmonton]

I don't think the Welsh should be too worried. I'll admit that Fiji have a chance against them, but there is no way in hell they are going to win by 38 points.