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Kingsholm, Gloucester (25/09/2015, 16:45)
Pool C, Round 2
Referee: JP Doyle
Argentina is huge favorite but they have only 5 rest days (1 day less than Georgia) and played a tougher opponent than Georgia. Also, Georgia knows well the stadium, they played Tonga here and also Japan last 5th September.
Georgia's defence is impressive (more than 200 tackles against Tonga, with 93% success) and their scrum is very strong.
Georgia was always a tough opponent for Argentina, especially during the first half :
June 2013 : Argentina 29-18 Georgia (half time : 9-12)
RWC 2011 : Argentina 25-7 Georgia (half time : 5-7)
RWC 2007 : Argentina 33-3 Georgia (half time : 6-3)
But it seem, thanks to a 10-weeks physical training camp (including cryotherapy at the Olympic Centre in Poland) and a new strength and conditioning staff with Calvin Morris (worked with England from 2002 to 2012) and Scott Crean (current Clermont's strength and conditioning coach), Georgia was physically impressive during 70 minutes (they streuggled a bit last 10 minutes). Usually, it was really hard for them from min 60 against a strong opponent.
I'd say its 75%-25% for Argentina
Nice post, a lot of good info there. I think it's 60-40 in favor of Argentina, but I am hoping for the upset. Argentina's future in the top tier is virtually secure. Georgia need to stake their claim for a Six Nations place.
2) ARG has 2 injuries (Senatore and their main hooker) + Mariano Galarza may miss the game due to ---> http://www.rugbyworldcup.com/news/96403
People here are seriously understimating the depth of the current Pumas squad, especially that of the forwards. I don't think there'll be many changes in XV anyway.
Pumas win without bonus point, but without much suffering either, sth like 27-13.
Chances are 65-35 in favor of Argentina IMO.
Hourcade can form:
The third row with Leguizamón, Ortega Desio and Isa (the last two were part of the team that beat France in 2014).
In the second row can play Petti (only played 20 minutes against the ABs) and Alemanno.
In the first row Ayerza, Creevy (they are irreplaceable and already have nine days to rest before facing Tonga) and Herrera.
Lavanini and Lobbe on the bench as replacements of impact.
In summary, a pack of strong forwadrs and well rested.
Landajo as scrumhalf with 20 or 25 minutes towards the end to Cubelli.
Sánchez (his kicks at goal can not be wasted).
De la Fuente and Moroni as centers to wear down the backs of Georgia (Bosch and Hernandez must be tired thereupon of tackling a lot)
In the background: Agulla, Gonzalez Amorosino and Cordero.
Hernandez and Imhoff on the bench to hit in the past 20 minutes.
Very insightful post. Thanks!Argentina is huge favorite but they have only 5 rest days (1 day less than Georgia) and played a tougher opponent than Georgia. Also, Georgia knows well the stadium, they played Tonga here and also Japan last 5th September.
Georgia's defence is impressive (more than 200 tackles against Tonga, with 93% success) and their scrum is very strong.
Georgia was always a tough opponent for Argentina, especially during the first half :
June 2013 : Argentina 29-18 Georgia (half time : 9-12)
RWC 2011 : Argentina 25-7 Georgia (half time : 5-7)
RWC 2007 : Argentina 33-3 Georgia (half time : 6-3)
But it seem, thanks to a 10-weeks physical training camp (including cryotherapy at the Olympic Centre in Poland) and a new strength and conditioning staff with Calvin Morris (worked with England from 2002 to 2012) and Scott Crean (current Clermont's strength and conditioning coach), Georgia was physically impressive during 70 minutes (they struggled a bit last 10 minutes). Usually, it was really hard for them from min 60 against a strong opponent.
I'd say its 75%-25% for Argentina